Author: Mark Glennon

College students should think twice before the next Trump rally protest – American Thinker

53% of the tuition paid at the University of Illinois, Circle Campus, where the protest occurred, goes to college public pensions. Tuition at that campus protest site has rise 74% in the last ten years, and almost all of that extra tuition cost went straight to pay public university administrators’ and professors’ pensions. For twenty years, many will have to work and pay student loan payments. Comment: “Think twice”? They should think once.

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Government debt is the new subprime – Opinion – MarketWatch

In the U.S., federal, state and local governments have very large unfunded pension liabilities that will have worsened with the recent falls in equities and other risk assets. Disputes between Chicago teachers and the governor of Illinois have resulted in a surge in borrowing and in the interest rate paid on new debt.

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Hate-Baiting and Race-Baiting Turned Surreal in Chicago on Friday Night – WP Original

By: Mark Glennon* I was at the Illinois GOP event at the Palmer House in Chicago Friday night, which was the other target of protesters along with Donald Trump’s cancelled event at UIC. Before going, I read an email from my U.S. Congresswoman, Jan Schakowky, calling for protests at both events. It read: Donald Trump, Bruce Rauner, and Ted Cruz are going to descend on Chicago to spread their message of intolerance, racism, and hate. We need to stand up to their disgusting rhetoric and remind them that Chicago won’t tolerate the garbage they are spewing. I saw plenty of

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Huge, Blind Reliance on State Exposed by Illinois Fiscal Crisis – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Did you know Catholic Charities is Illinois’ largest social service provider and gets 70% of its funding from the state? I didn’t. Perhaps the most surprising aspect of Illinois’ financial crisis is the depth of its impact on social services commonly thought to be privately funded or otherwise not heavily reliant on state money. Same, to some extent, for higher education.   Was the plight most of them face today foreseeable? Definitely. Avoidable? Not so clear.   Major cutbacks loom for groups like Catholic Charities, or have been made already. Catholic Charities, with a budget

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State Bankruptcy Would Change Life for Public Pensioners, Bond Holders – ABC News

Under existing law, a state cannot go bankrupt. That’s not because the action is forbidden. Not the U.S. Constitution nor any other piece of paper says a state cannot. The bankruptcy code simply does not address the possibility. Now lawyers, politicians and other ingenious folk are looking for a way around that problem — a fact that should come as no surprise, given the perilous financial health of California, Illinois and other states encumbered with crushing debts.

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Cook County: State must pay millions owed to fund child support collection program – Cook County Record

Cook County State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez and lawyers acting on behalf of parents owed child support have asked the federal courts to step in to force the state of Illinois to pay up what it owes to cover the costs of enforcing the collection of child support, saying the state’s failure to pass a budget to fund the program has cost Cook County millions, harms the parents and their children and threatens the future viability of the program.

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New Illinois Poll – Chicago Tribune

Trump had the support of 32 percent, followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with 22 percent, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio with 21 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 18 percent. An additional 7 percent were undecided. The poll of 600 registered voters likely to cast a ballot in the Republican primary has an error margin of 4.1 percentage points.

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Public Pensions and Fiscal Incompetence – The American Interest

America’s ongoing—and underreported—public sector pension crisis — the role played by institutional greed and fecklessness—greed by public sector unions that have turned so many state and local governments into ATM machines, and fecklessness by politicians who were willing to keep wildly over-promising to keep their campaign contributions flowing.

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My, What a Foolish Comment by the Chicago Tribune’s Chairman – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Michael Ferro is the Chairman and largest shareholder of Tribune Publishing, owner of the Chicago Tribune. This week, he said:   I now understand how important it is to have real journalism in the world and we’re starting here with our properties around the country. Bloggers can’t be the ones deciding public opinion, deciding presidential races.   As for the first part of his comment, let’s just say it’s good he “now” understands the importance, whatever that indicates.   But as for the rest, there’s evidently much he doesn’t understand:   •  Journalists aren’t the

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Chapter 9 Five Proposals for Meaningful Reform – The Bond Buyer

Comment: In a sane world, we’d be debating how Chapter 9 can be amended to make it a more efficient means to give zombie municipalities a fresh start. The suggestions in this article mostly would give bondholders a windfall and therefore should be suspect, but that’s a topic for a different day, and some of these suggestions are sensible. One change to Chapter 9 that definitely should be made would be to allow discretion to make pension cuts progressive — protecting the smaller pensioners more than the gluttons. In any event, let’s hope bondholders’ lobbyists don’t hijack Washington to rewrite

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Pension Problems Hit Madison and St. Claire Counties – Taxpayers United of America

“There are about 300 area government retirees collecting pensions of at least $100,000 annually, while 17.6% of St. Claire County residents live below the poverty level, along with 14% of Madison County residents. Across 6 state pension funds, there are 12,154 government pensioners collecting six-figure pensions and 85,893 pensioners collecting more than $50,000 annually, where the state debt per capita is $24,959.”

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The Suddenly Poor Life: Millions Will Lose Their Pensions – The Trumpet

Tens of millions of Americans are not going to get the benefits they are planning on! This is an underappreciated trend that will have a profound effect on America’s economy. Consider this: In Chicago, a recent report found that the city’s unfunded pension liabilities totaled 10 times the entire city’s revenues. According to analysts, this means that the city will soon be paying 50 percent of its revenue just to cover pension costs. Comment: As we’ve been saying repeatedly, only SOME face genuine hardship. There are haves and have nots, which is why pension reform must include means testing or

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U.S. top court rejects union challenge to New Jersey pension reforms – Reuters

The United States Supreme Court declined to hear an appeal from a New Jersey decision challenging pension underfunding under the Contracts Clause of the U.S. Constitution. A Bond Buyer article on the same story is linked here. Comment: If Illinois was to amend its constitution to allow pension cuts, unions say they would still challenge any cuts as a violation of the U.S Contracts Clause. This case appears to indicate the Supreme Court’s reluctance to hear such a challenge.

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Allstate moves 400 tech workers to downtown Chicago – Crain’s

Allstate is opening an innovation center in the Merchandise Mart that will bring 400 technology jobs downtown. The Northbrook-based insurer is just the latest in a growing conga line of suburban employers that have either set up satellite offices or moved their entire operations downtown in search of fresh talent.

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Pension Lawsuits and the Blame Game: Detroit is Harbinger of the Inevitable – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Detroit last week gave us a glimpse of what to expect on a much larger scale in Chicago and across the country as the sheets are gradually pulled off on public pensions.   Reality ultimately invalidates wrong assumptions. In the public pension world, that means taxpayer liabilities eventually will spike. Scapegoats will be found, fairly or not. Lawsuits will come. Heads must roll as anger erupts — all financial meltdowns are that way. Officeholders and voters bear primary responsibility, but that won’t matter.   Detroit’s mayor announced the startling (to some) conclusion that the city’s

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Chicago State University sends layoff notices to all employees amid Illinois budget battle – The Washington Post

Comment: The many headlines about layoff  “notices are a bit misleading. Despite the notices — including to the president — university spokesman Tom Wogan said that does not mean the 900 people working at Chicago State all will lose their jobs. He said the school is still trying to determine how many layoffs are needed to offset the loss of funding. “It means that every employee of the university, from the president on down, is susceptible to a layoff.” Wogan said the university has no plans to close, but said it needs the flexibility to make staff reductions to remain

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Top GOP Pollster: Young Americans Are Terrifyingly Liberal

According to new polling by right-wing political consultant Frank Luntz, Americans 18 to 26 are extremely liberal — so liberal that “the hostility of young Americans to the underpinnings of the American economy and the American government” should “frighten every business and political leader.”

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Detroit mayor eyes legal action over pension shortfall – Reuters

Detroit may sue some of the consultants who worked on its bankruptcy over a $490 million pension funding shortfall that will result in bigger-than-expected city payments. The mayor blamed the projected deficit on outdated mortality tables used by the consultants that assume retirees will not live as long. Sound familiar, WirePoints regulars?

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Rauner-backed bill leaves pension payments in play – A.P.

One of the budget options Gov. Bruce Rauner presented to lawmakers last week could clear the way for the state to once again short or skip contributions to its beleaguered pension funds. Comment: Wake up, media. We already are shorting contributions. The state makes the contributions required by statute which are far short of what is required to prevent unfunded liabilities from worsening.  

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Bang for the buck in education? – McHenry Times

Does more money equal a better education? There’s perhaps no better way to examine that question than the real-life experiment known as the Chicago Public Schools (CPS), where over the past 10 years, enrollment has fallen and spending has soared.

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Peoples Gas’ new owners have a new foe: the utility’s union – Crain’s

The union is urging the Illinois Commerce Commission, which regulates utilities, to order WEC Energy to hire more full-time personnel. The commission has the power to do that under a state law enacted in 2008. The union is pushing for a workforce of 1,300, up 36 percent from today’s levels. Peoples’ unionized workforce numbers 954, up from a low-water mark of 872 a decade ago.

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Are Budget Sweeps Coming? – INN

The Unbalanced Budget Response Act would allow the governor to make cuts and sweep special funds in the upcoming fiscal year. And while Democrat leaders have said the governor could use his line-item veto authority, Governor Bruce Rauner said Monday that won’t solve the state’s problems.

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Graduation Numbers Inflated At Nearly All CPS High Schools – WBEZ

Mayor Rahm Emanuel touted improving graduation rates as he campaigned for re-election last year. But an investigation by WBEZ and the BGA found that graduation rates were inflated, because many principals were regularly labeling students as transfers out of the district when they should have been classified as dropouts. In response, CPS went back and scrutinized who had been counted as a transfer in the past.

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Doctors form their own angel funds for health care startups – Crain’s

The Chicago “doctorpreneur” has assembled a group of about 30 physicians to fund health care-related startups at the earliest stages. His pitch is simple: Doctors generally have capital and need to diversify their finances beyond their own practices and the stock market. Meanwhile, one of the biggest barriers for health care entrepreneurs is finding investors comfortable enough with the sector.

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Municipal Bankruptcy Brings Joy to Taxpayers – WP Guest

  By: Joe Mathewson*   Chicago Public Schools’ desperate and very costly quest for buyers of its recent $725-million bond issue (cut from $875 million) is a harbinger of peril ahead, not only for CPS but for the City of Chicago and other Illinois local governments and special districts relying fatuously on borrowing to pay current expenses.   If the Illinois legislature finally passes a pending bill permitting municipalities and special districts to seek relief in U.S. Bankruptcy Court, there might be a parade of them knocking on that door. They’d be well received, for Chapter 9 of the Bankruptcy

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A Long Journey on the Red Line

For Fred Long, Chicago’s youth-focused nonprofit UCAN has been a ticket to a world that he never even knew existed growing up on the city’s South Side. Comment: If you think you don’t need a reminder about the conditions some kids face, think again and read this story. “As a little kid, my mom would be off doing drugs, and all of us would be left alone at home, hungry and without food,” he recalled. “We’d sit there looking down the street for her — that’s called ‘Window Pain.’ Or sometimes she’d take us on drug runs, where she’d go inside a

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Democrats, it’s time to stand up in Illinois budget mess [by embracing the Civic Federatons wacky proposal!] – Editorial – Crain’s

Comment: No surprise that the innumerate goofballs at Crain’s would go for the the Civic Federation’s recent budget proposal. For the facts on that proposal, see the Illinois policy article linked here and our earlier one linked here. They want $9 billion in new taxes per year just at the state level, and assumption of liability by Illinois taxpayers of the $10 billion -plus unfunded Chicago teacher pension liability.

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Interest rate swaps class action vs big banks could draw in ‘tens of thousands’ of public bodies with billions at stake – Cook County Record

Two Mississippi and Alabama hospitals and the county that includes the cities of Biloxi and Gulfport, Miss., have squared off in Chicago federal court with many of the country’s biggest financial institutions over so-called interest rate swaps — an issue now impacting governments and other public bodies throughout the country, including Chicago’s public schools system.

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Civic Federation’s Island – Eric Allie Cartoon

Comment: Good to see others going after The Civic Federation, which has gone off the deep end is now seems more like the union-funded CTBA of Ralph Martire. Illinois policy did a great piece linked here on The Civic Federation, and our own earlier one is linked here.

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The Governments (plural) of Chicago -Truth in Accounting

The average Chicago citizen is walking around on real estate with a number of different, overlapping governmental jurisdictions, each of which poses financial implications for any single taxpayer. Calculating the full ‘Taxpayer Burden’ for a Chicago citizen requires analysis and assessment of his or her exposure to the multiple layers of government that are borrowing money, with future tax implications. Comment: That’s the key. Any one jurisdiction may look fixable in isolation, but in aggregate they are not.

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Full Text of Governor Rauner’s Budget Address

I stand before you today with respect for our co-equal branches of government – acknowledgment of our shared responsibility for the future – and a deeply-rooted desire to work with each and every one of you to right our ship of state. Although we succeeded last year in eliminating an inherited $1.6 billion budget hole without a tax hike, we are now in our 8th month without a state budget – and court orders are forcing us to spend beyond our means. Shocking, yes. Acceptable, not even close. For more than two decades, we’ve had unsustainable unbalanced budgets, undisciplined spending,

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Extra cost of CTA pension express: $2.7M in fees [Part 3 of series] – Sun-Times

The fees are on top of the pensions paid in 2014 to 19 CTA board retirees, including top White House aide Valerie Jarrett, who made $11,132 in payroll deductions into the board’s pension fund and began drawing a $35,660-a-year pension at age 50. Jarrett, now 59, has been paid more than $306,000 stemming from the nearly eight years she served as the CTA’s part-time board chair, records show.

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Union-backed bill Rauner says would cost taxpayers billions is resurrected – Illinois News Network

House Bill 580 is similar to Senate Bill 1229 that failed to overcome Rauner’s veto by only a few House votes. If passed, it would treat the members of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 31 like law enforcement or firefighters in that they would not be off the job in the event of an impasse in contract negotiations.

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The Civic Federation Has Lost Its Way – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   The Civic Federation had a long, proud history providing an important check on state and local financial management. It sounded the alarm loudly long ago about Illinois’ problems: “Doomsday is here,” said its President, Laurence Msall, six years ago.   No more. A noticeable change occurred about three or four years ago. Since then, the alarms have softened. Critical issues are overlooked or given lip service. Limp pension reform proposals dominate. Dire implications of its own research pass without comment.   Now, it has worsened. The Civic Federation has become part of the problem. Last

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Kumbaya Won’t Fix Illinois – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   “Politicians, do your jobs.” “Compromise.” “Can’t we all get along?” In the endless repetition of calls like that, the underlying thought is that “passing a budget” means spending cuts now painfully felt will go away.   They won’t. They can’t. It doesn’t matter whether one or the other side caves completely or they split the difference — for a number of years, that is, until longer term solutions hopefully can pass and take hold.   As Comptroller Leslie Munger recently pointed out, if we tried to cover current operations from an income tax increase, the

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CTA execs ride the pension express – Sun-Times

The Chicago Transit Authority has spent nearly $94 million over 15 years on a retirement program that has allowed former CTA executives to start collecting lucrative pensions in their late 40s and early 50s while also getting paychecks from other government jobs, a Chicago Sun-Times and Better Government Association investigation has found.

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Intricacies of Chicago Landlord Tenant Ordinance sparking rash of lawsuits over technical violations – Cook County Record

A rash of lawsuits against landlords under the Chicago Residential Landlord Tenant Ordinance has led to questions over whether the ordinance, which governs relations between apartment dwellers and their landlords in the city of Chicago, may need reform. “For a long time I’ve been advising my landlords who don’t want to be professional landlords to sell their properties and get out of Chicago,” said a landlord/tenant lawyer.

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Be wary of who circles in the CPS desperate hours – Kristi Culpepper – Crain’s

“It is not an accident that bond market professionals are willing to escort governments with significant structural problems down this path. Short time horizons and desperation are a lucrative business for advisory and law firms. Their fees are typically financed through the bond issue in question and, for large borrowers like Chicago, can run into tens of millions of dollars.” Comment: Culpepper is a diamond in the rough — somebody who knows the muni bond industry but has the courage to speak up. We link to her stuff about Illinois whenever we see it. Perhaps her best line here is

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They ‘take the cake’: Some assumptions in Chicago Firefighters’ pension – Truth in Accounting

There are a number of remarkable expectations in these projections, including a six-fold increase in plan assets, which are projected to reach $6.8 billion in 2041 (up from $1.0 billion in 2014).  And the ‘statutory contribution’ is projected to rise from $109 million annually (about twice as high as employee contributions) to about $470 million annually (about six times as high as employee contributions).

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Rally Held at Northern Illinois University to Support a State Budget – MyStateLine

Comment: The misunderstanding reflected here, which is epidemic, is that passing “a budget” means the painful cuts will be restored. They won’t be. We’re running a $6.2 billion annualized excess of expenses over revenue, even with the cuts in place, and excluding the massive pension underfunding. “Compromise” to get a budget won’t help much and nobody wants a tax increase big enough to cover it all.

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New Study Details Illinois Pension Excess at the Top, Hardship Below – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Public union leaders forever pound their chests about wealth inequality and how our pension system protects the middle class. In fact, Illinois public pensions may be the worst tale of two cities. The gluttony bankrupting us is at the top, which includes union leadership, but it’s very a very different story for the rest.   A great new research piece on Teacherspensions.org, a project of Bellweather Education Partners, looks at it for Illinois teachers. Remember from earlier stories that the average member of the state’s teacher retirement system retiring now after working 33 years for

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Editorial: Hey, Governor, it ain’t workin’ – Chicago Sun-Times

Comment: “The only road forward is through compromise,” the article says. Compromise will will speed the spiral down. The opposite it true. The list of radical reforms needed immediately must be expanded — bankruptcy for many municpalities, pay cuts, layoffs, slashed pension payments. The crisis is now spinning out of control and a state of emergency should be recognized by all.

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Illinois Fire and Police Pension Actuary Facing Actuarial Discipline – WP Exclusive

  By:  Mark Glennon*   WirePoints has learned that the Actuarial Board of Counseling and Discipline (the ABCD) recently recommended that Timothy Sharpe, actuary to dozens of troubled Illinois fire and police pension funds, be expelled from membership in the American Academy of Actuaries. If the Academy implements the recommendation, it will be very unusual since only 11 actuaries have been expelled from the Academy since 1975 and only 20 have been otherwise publicly disciplined (http://actuary.org/content/public-discipline).   The recommendation is the result of separate complaints by two actuaries, one by actuary Tia Goss Sawhney. Those complaints followed three prior complaints,

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Supreme Court Deals Setback to Obama’s Power Plant Regulations – The New York Times

The Supreme Court on Tuesday temporarily blocked the Obama administration’s effort to combat climate change by regulating emissions from coal-fired power plants. The brief order was not the last word on the case, which is most likely to return to the Supreme Court after an appeals court considers an expedited challenge from 29 states and dozens of corporations and industry groups. Comment: Pertinent to Illinois’ pending clean energy bills — a multi-billion dollar issue for Illinois consumers.

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Wrath of Khan: The Sequel — Ex-Council IG blasts aldermen

What the council is doing here is completely tying his hands to make sure no one can look at what they’re doing.  Menu money and worker’s comp programs are exactly the type of programs that an IG needs to look at. That’s where the fraud and waste comes from whether intentional or not. By refusing the IG, the City Council is thumbing its nose at the taxpayers and saying they will do whatever they want. The bottom line fact is that the City Council doesn’t want oversight.”

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Fight or Flight? – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Boy, do I get emails here. A regular one in particular makes me squirm. It’s not any of the insults like “vulture capitalist” or “pension thief.”  Those are fine. Have at it.   It’s when I’m asked by Illinoisans, usually young ones, whether they should leave. I’m uncomfortable playing career planner, especially when financial interests have to be balanced against personal issues like leaving one’s home and family. Most importantly, there’s no single answer. But I can’t escape the question, especially when asked what I am doing.   Let’s take the economic self-interest matter first

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Chicago Teachers Union Responds to Gov. Rauner’s Attempt at State Control of Chicago Public Schools

“Now, instead of rejecting failed policy, the governor is doubling down and holding Illinois citizens hostage with his austerity agenda, which is why we continue to call for a tax on millionaires and the wealthy, for big banks to return money stolen through toxic swap deals, and for a tax increment financing (TIF) surplus declared immediately.” Comment: And they’re teaching the kids math.

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Rich Schools Queried by Illinois’ Rep. Roskam, Other U.S. Lawmakers on Endowment Spending – Bloomberg

Congress needs to have a better understanding of how endowment funds and “the exorbitant cost” of higher education interact, Roskam, of Illinois, said in an interview. “The status quo, in terms of the cost of higher education, isn’t working,” Roskam said. “If the tax code is having an impact one way or another, we need to understand it.”

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Eric Allie Cartoon

The “It’s Rauner’s Fault” meme, long planned by Dems and their friends in the press, is now rolling out in full force.

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How Public Pension Plans Can (and Why They Shouldn’t) Ignore Financial Economics – Financial Analysts Journal

“The risk premium, which can exceed half the true pension cost, has been confiscated by the first generation, which bore no risk. In practice, where immediate settlement is not required, risks continually pass to future generations, with surpluses swept off the table and deficits allowed to run for as many generations as possible. “The dependence on future generations of taxpayers violates the fundamental principle of public finance: each generation should pay in full for the services it consumes.

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Blue Cross’ Health Care Service Corp axes workers after Obamacare losses – Crain’s

The job cuts come on the heels of big losses at HCSC, fueled by capturing a large portion of enrollees who bought health plans on the public health insurance exchange. Through its Blue Cross plans, including in Illinois, HCSC offered some of the lowest-cost policies on the online marketplace, which launched in 2013. The problem was, like for many insurers around the country, many of the enrollees were sick and expensive. Claims racked up. Some health insurers even closed under the financial stress.

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Detailed Report: Pensions vs. higher education – Illinois Policy

“Budget gridlock isn’t why Illinois’ higher-education system is facing financial troubles. The truth is that more than 50 percent of Illinois’ $4.1 billion budget for state universities is spent on retirement costs – making it easy to understand why there’s not money out there for much else. Comment: For higher education and so many other parts of our fiscal crisis, it’s the pensions, stupid.

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CPS borrows $725 million at huge cost – Sun-Times

Comment: Rahm’s office and some others are blaming Rauner’s bankruptcy talk for higher rates — the “Rauner premium.” Really? The market is that stupid that it didn’t already see bankruptcy risk? And if it is that stupid, it would have been better to hide Rauner’s desires until after the bond sale then pop it on the bondholders?

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Opinion: Is teachers union on suicide mission? – Chicago Sun-Times

“The union faces another problem if they strike. The district’s 130 charter schools serving more than 60,000 students will remain open. With thousands of additional parents on charter waiting lists, a strike would further whet their appetites for choice and drive more parents away from traditional public schools.

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Updated: What Are the CTU and CPS thinking? No, seriously. – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   In its statement yesterday announcing rejection of the contract offer made by Chicago Public Schools, the Chicago Teachers Union included this:        CPS’ uses this math to plug its budget hole: $200 million from the state for pensions $150 million from the state in a school aid formula change $170 million from a new local property tax levy for pensions $150 to $175 million from eliminating the teacher’s pension pickup and from increased healthcare costs.   That’s about $700 million. But the offering documents for CPS’s struggling bond offering say its annual structural deficit

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Flint’s Problem Was Money, Not Water – Barron’s

“It’s a benefits crisis. Flint’s money shortage came about largely from high municipal pension obligations and a retiree health plan that could not be properly funded after the biggest taxpayer, General Motors, moved out. “The city’s population shrunk, the city budget shrunk, and wages shrunk, but benefits for retirees could not shrink because of protections in the state constitution. Currently, pensions and retiree health care consume 33% of general fund expense and 20% of all city spending. The city has been in receivership since December 2011. “Flint is not the first victim of excessive municipal benefits—and it won’t be the

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Budget, higher ed battles roll on – Illinois News Network

Senate, Deputy GOP Leader Matt Murphy called the bill “a hollow, empty gesture.” He said it amounts to telling constituents, “Hey, we passed this bill for $720 million for you — just don’t look under the hood and realize we actually don’t have $720 million.”

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Municipal Bankruptcy Debate Begins in Illinois: Expect Mass Ignorance and Distortion – WP Original

Behold the Chicago Cubs. By: Mark Glennon* The inevitable is here. The real importance of Governor Rauner’s proposal to authorize optional bankruptcy for Chicago Public Schools and the city is putting bankruptcy into the mainstream narrative. That’s good, and years overdue, but it also means we’ll be doubling down on the confusion, ignorance and political distortion that has plagued the debate about our fiscal crisis. On this site we will focus hard on ensuring that all good articles about municipal bankruptcy for Illinois get posted, and we’ll try to cut through the fog.  It’s not an easy topic, as I

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Illinois Pension Crisis: Ripe For Fed Rescue? – Better Government Association

Comment: Hard to envision any bailout getting through Congress. It would essentially mean taxpayers in the majority of states that have been comparatively responsible would pay up for the minority of states that have been comparatively irresponsible, the major ones being Illinois, New Jersey, California and New York. How does that get through the Senate? And if the Federal Reserve Bank tried to do this without Congress there would be a national uproar.

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What Are Consent Decrees? – WUIS

Rauner says he wants to get the state out of legal agreements called consent decrees. The deals are a big part of the reason the government is still operating without a budget; they also impact the lives of thousands of Illinois residents. But unless you are affected by one, you’ve probably never heard of them.

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Cullerton [vainly] hopes CPS can cope until school aid formula revised – Sun-Times

Cullerton: “One [thing to change] is the special ed bloc grant where the city gets extra money. We’re going to eliminate that. Number two, Chicago has a special deal in that they don’t get any money for their [teacher] pensions. We’re going to eliminate that, too. When you do that and you do a new school aid formula that’s focused on providing money for the poorer school districts statewide, Chicago will probably benefit . . . The pension parity is worth about $200 million.” Dear Senator Cullerton: CPS’ structural deficit is at least $1.1 billion. Your proposal won’t solve much.

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Study: Chicago Leads National Average, New York And Los Angeles In Out Of Work, Out Of School Youth – KFDA

Blacks and Hispanics continue to be significantly behind with 47 percent of young Black men (20-24) and 20 percent of young Hispanic men jobless and out of school in Chicago. This is compared to 32 percent nationwide and 31 percent in both New York and Los Angeles for Black men and 18 percent nationwide and in New York 27 percent and Los Angeles 14 percent for Hispanics. The situation is even worse for Chicago’s Black and Hispanic teens (16-19) with 88 percent of Blacks and 85 percent of Hispanic’s in that group not working, compared to 71 percent nationwide.

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New TIF surplus bill could kick up to $350M to CPS – Chicago Sun-Times

Comment: The leading proponent of this one-time, unsustainable fix — a raid on taxes paid for a different purpose — is Barbara Flynn Currie, pictured. She’s among the most financially illiterate legislators I’ve ever met. Styling herself as a “progressive independent,” she in fact is a career lieutenant for Michael Madigan. And she’s the House Majority Leader!

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More Pension Deceit and Hypocrisy from Union-Backed CTBA – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon* The Center for Tax and Budget Accountability today released a report titled, Public Pensions: Frequently Asked Questions. The “average” annual pension benefit for Illinois statewide pensions is just $45,832, says the report. Sounds pretty reasonable, which is why “averages” like that have been central to public unions’ messaging about pensions for years. It’s bunk. While it might be true in a very literal sense, it’s so misleading and incomplete that it can only be described as dishonest. Here’s why: “Average” pensions include those who work only part of their careers in the system providing the pension.

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The Democrats’ fix: Give them more money – Chicago Tribune

“[I]t’s eternally perplexing to witness how easily the Democrats in this state change the storyline, deflect and get away with lies.” Comment: Outstanding piece by Tribune editorial writer Kristen McQueary, loaded with undeniable facts. Too bad Tribune’s reporters aren’t as good.

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Michigan considering reconstituting Detroit schools [as we said Chicago could] – Wall Street Journal

Comment: The “old co/new co” concept discussed in this article about Detroit is the same thing we wrote could be done for Chicago, probably without the need for a bankruptcy proceeding, but get the same result and a fresh financial start. It would save Rahm the embarrassment of a formal bankruptcy. Our earlier articles about that are linked here and here. Problem is, the state and the city would need the political will to actually fix CPS, which they do not have.

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Stupidest editorial of the week is from Crain’s

By: Mark Glennon*   The water disaster in Flint, Michigan proves you can’t “run government like a business.” And since you can’t run government like a business, the recent proposal to change control over Chicago Public Schools and authorize bankruptcy is a terrible idea.   That’s a perfectly fair summary of a Crain’s editorial this week.   It parrots the lines about Flint being used by Mike Madigan and his spokesman, Steve Brown. Flint’s water, they say, invalidates Rauner.   Only in Illinois.   *Mark Glennon is founder of WirePoints. Opinions expressed are his own. Updated to add the material

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Another Dishonest Headline From Crain’s – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   “The Cost of Gridlock” is Crain’s headline about a recent University of Illinois Study that quantified Illinois’ higher borrowing cost.   The study said no such thing. It compared recent Illinois borrowing cost to those in 2006. Illinois paid a penalty of about $53 million on its recent $513 million bond offering, the study says, if you compare its pricing to 2006 Illinois bonds.   Fair enough. Let’s assume that’s right.   It certainly does not say that’s the price of gridlock. Many bad things happened since 2006 that hurt Illinois’ borrowing costs, beyond the

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Wisdom and a warning from Mike Royko 20 years ago — lousy parents key to lousy Chicago schools

Note his warning at the end: “Until the educators and politicians have the stomach to start demanding something from parents–and are given means to back up the demands with action–we’re going to have generation after generation, slogging along in the same rut. We can’t afford it. Today it is a problem. In a generation or two, it will be chaos.” Separately, he wrote, “Show me the worst school districts in Detroit, New York, Chicago and Los Angeles, and I’ll show you parents that shouldn’t be raising a Chia Pet, much less a child.”

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Who Is To Blame for the Status of the Chicago Teachers’ Pension Fund? – WP Guest

  Preface: The following was submitted by “A Recovering Pension Actuary” – somebody I believe to be knowledgeable and credible who asked to be kept anonymous. I certainly think it’s true that actuaries shouldn’t bear too much blame for the problems with Chicago Teachers’ Pension Fund and our other unfunded pensions. Beyond that, I’ll let you judge for yourself. -Mark Glennon   No one blames the coroner for a homicide that he examines; people hold the killer accountable. Likewise, we shouldn’t castigate the actuaries for the funded status of the CTPF – the real villains are the legislators in Springfield.

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New Study: Chicago has worst unfunded pension liability as a percentage of revenue among major cities – WP Original

By: Mark Glennon*   A new study by the Center for State and Local Government Excellence looks at city unfunded pension liabilities under new governmental accounting standards. Some cities, unlike Chicago, participate in state-wide pension “cost-sharing” plans. The new standards require each city to include its shared liability in such plans, which increases their reported liability. This new study reflects those changes and measures unfunded liability as a percentage of each city’s revenue.   Despite those negative adjustments for other cities, Chicago is worst of 173 cities measured. Its unfunded pension liabilities are 359% of its revenues The 173-city average

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Rep. Ives: Time to reveal yet another political sleight of hand – Illinois Review

In most cases, the only way to stop an SSA is to petition against it, which relies on citizens organizing and finding the voters and property owners to oppose the tax in writing. Here’s an example of how the game works: Conrad Frederick twice voted in favor of an SSA in Wheaton in 2009 and 2011, because he was a registered voter and failed to sign a petition opposing it. Actually, Mr. Frederick couldn’t have signed any petition because he died in 2008, but since he was on the voter roll, he counted in the base number to determine if

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Cloud tax gives Illinois startups sticker shock – Crain’s

Companies such as Amazon Web Services are warning their customers in Chicago that they’ll be collecting the city’s new 5.25 percent tax on their bills in the new year. For some companies, that could mean an annual tax in the six figures that will pinch profits or increase their burn rates, which could cause them to slow their rate of expansion.

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Why Mayor Rahm Emanuel is losing Chicagoans – Chicago Tribune

You have squandered believability. Face it. Own it. Chicagoans sense that you are not leveling with them. Latest example: When you quickly follow a big property tax hike with a request for more billions in borrowing authority, they also sense that you have no strategy beyond running from problems. That you’ve doomed them and their children to … more big tax hikes. Five years in, your City Hall still spends far more than its income justifies.

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To Judge Rauner’s First Year, Step Back, Think Broadly – WP Original

  “There is no history, only biography.” -Ralph Waldo Emerson   Don’t look just at the trees as you read the articles grading Bruce Rauner on this first inauguration anniversary — whether his specific and tangible changes were enough given the legislature he had. That’s important, but there’s more.   See the forest. Consider the entirely of what changed since he arrived.   It’s an entirely new paradigm in Springfield. Once forbidden topics are now debated. Major directional change finally is at least on the table. Most importantly, a redirected and reinvigorated Republican party is setting a course for restoration

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Rahm protesters plan to disrupt trading on Chicago exchanges – Rolling Stone

“We’re looking at applying economic pressure on January 15th. We want to affect trading at the exchanges that Friday. We want to see if we can throw them off. We believe those are the people Rahm listens to, and they won’t want us down there disrupting the trading.” Comment: Most protesters have been peaceful, principled and lawful, but this is planning for something that’s probably criminal.

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A Galling Boast in Chicago’s Bond Pitch: Haves Replacing Have Nots – WP Original

By: Mark Glennon* One particular piece of bragging in the offering materials** for Chicago’s upcoming bond sale caught my attention. No, it wasn’t any of the silly ones like “stable population and business base” or “proven record of implementing reforms.” And, no, it wasn’t any of the obvious ones like “commitment to raising revenues.” It was this one: “gaining high income households rapidly, rising median family income.” That seems harmless on its face, but what’s it really saying? Let’s think about it remembering that the city’s population is declining and factor in some other recent news. It’s not something self-styled

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[Unbelieveable:] Rahm Emanuel gets show of support from White House – Sun-Times

White House Chief of Staff: “I just had a chance to be back in Chicago, actually, my in-laws live in Chicago and I tell you, the city looks great, the opportunities there are boundless. And so, I think what the President sees is a city and a people of Chicago and a Mayor of Chicago that continue to do very good work.” Comment: Got that, you jobless slackers? Your opportunities are “boundless” here. Now, just shut up and be happy with Rahm.

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Tullman: Why the Chicago Teachers’ Strike Will Help Education Entrepreneurs – Inc.

How out-of-touch and out-of-date are union leaders and even some older teachers? The real sticking issue in this strike is that teachers don’t want to be measured and evaluated. They’re even demanding that teachers laid off for their incompetence be automatically rehired before newer, better-trained and more tech-savvy new teachers are hired. But this strike is going to make parents a lot more receptive to new tools, technologies and learning environments. Comment: The author, Howard Tullman, is a brilliant and irrepressible leader in Chicago’s tech community — and he’s a Chicago Dem!

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Mondelez’ Enjoy Life Foods to shut Schiller Park factory, move operation to Indiana – Crain’s

Mondelez International’s allergy-free unit, Enjoy Life Foods, will move its lone manufacturing facility to southern Indiana from Schiller Park in the second quarter in a bid to expand capacity fourfold. The move will result in 125 to 150 job losses in the Chicago area, though all plant employees were offered employment at the new plant in Jeffersonville.

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Turnaround Can’t Come too Soon for Lake County Taxpayers – Taxpayers United of America

Some government school boards have absolutely no regard for the taxpayers they are supposed to serve. Not only are we forced to fund these outrageous pensions, now Highland Park wants taxpayers to approve a $198 million property tax increase referendum to build a new campus ‘for the children,’ which really means that it’s a new fortress for government bureaucrats.”

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Why I don’t want to pay union dues – Opinion – Chicago Tribune

“I went into this line of work because I care about kids. But just because I care about kids doesn’t mean I also want to support a government union. Unfortunately, I have no choice. To keep my job at the state, I have to pay monthly fees to the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, or AFSCME, a public employee union that claims to ‘represent’ me.”

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Nice audio summary by Gov. Rauner of his thinking and rationale

  By: Mark Glennon*   The most common criticism of Governor Rauner I hear, even from his supporters, is poor messaging and communication — he just doesn’t get out and articulate his reasoning often and clearly enough. It’s a fair criticism.   To a large extent, however, it’s not fairly reported when he does. Today was a great example. Linked here is a nice, clear 13 minute audio if you want to understand his perspective on a number of things — CPS’s budget problems, Rahm’s troubles, the budget fight with Madigan and more.   Especially notable is his emphasis on

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U of I’s Flash Index: State’s economic growth slowed considerably at end of 2015

The Flash Index fell to 105.5 in December from its 106.1 level in November. This is not only the lowest reading all year, but the lowest reading since March 2013. The Illinois economy is still growing, as the reading is above 100, the dividing line between growth and decline. However, this reading suggests that the state’s economy slowed considerably in the last part of 2015.

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Why I’m Fighting My Teachers Union – WSJ

“I am one of 10 California teachers suing to end compulsory union dues in Friedrichs v. California Teachers Association, which will be heard by the Supreme Court Jan. 11. Our request is simple: Strike down laws in 23 states that require workers who decline to join a union to pay fees anyway.”

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Not All Pensions Are Equal – TeacherPensions.org

In Illinois, net pension benefits are actually negative for a 25-year-old teacher who teaches anything less than 26 years. Meanwhile, an Illinois teacher who stays for a total of 30 years receives a net lifetime pension benefit of $389,000. Comment: We’ve been pounding on this repeatedly. Senior pensioners are ripping off junior pensioners, not just taxpayers.

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Gerchen Keller Capital is biggest litigation financier in world – Crain’s

Gerchen Keller Capital is the largest firm of its kind in the world. Starting out with $100 million from a dozen investors (two were anchors), the Chicago-based business has grown to $1.4 billion in assets under management. In addition to funding early stage lawsuits, it buys legal fee, judgment and settlement receivables from finished cases.

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Why the Rahm Story Matters – The American Interest

This is much more than a story about a politician’s career struggles. What’s happening in Chicago is an earthquake that points to the escalating crisis of governability for blue cities across the United States. There are at least six dimensions to this crisis. Comment: Must-read. This a a fundamental issue of governability.

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A Great Article on Chicago Property Taxes From, Yes, Al Jazeera!

  *By Mark Glennon   Much of Chicago’s media praised the city’s property tax increase as a bold step towards solving its financial crisis. Property taxes are “the best way to soak the rich,” said a Crain’s headline.   Give credit where it’s due, to Al Jazeera, for its story today, Chicago’s historic property tax increase expected to burden working class. That headline says it all. They got the facts right. Read the whole thing.   *Mark Glennon is founder of WirePoints. Opinions expressed are his own.

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Madigan uses quirk in law to stockpile 2016 campaign cash against Rauner – Chicago Tribune

Democratic House Speaker Michael Madigan has been on a fundraising tear, courtesy of a quirk in state campaign finance law that allows him to amass multiple five-figure contributions from the same donor into four funds he controls. As a result, Madigan raised more than $7.1 million in 2015, including $2.8 million that arrived in December alone, State Board of Elections reports showed. That 2015 total is about $2.3 million more than what Madigan collected during the same pre-election period two years ago.

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The Machine Must Be Destroyed – WP Original

“Carthage must be destroyed.” – Cato the Elder, Roman Senator By: Mark Glennon* The core identity of moral and fiscal bankruptcy in Illinois government cannot be denied. It controls the Illinois General Assembly, Chicago and Cook County.  “The machine” isn’t often used to describe it any longer, but the “Chicago way” now universally communicates its infamy. It has defied its end as persistently as did Carthage before Cato. Carthage was a mortal threat to the Roman Republic in the second century BC and had rebuilt itself time and again after earlier Roman invasions. Its total destruction was Rome’s only option,

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Chicago Seeks More Charter Schools – WBEZ

In a Request for Proposals issued Wednesday, CPS says it’s looking for dual language schools, “Next Generation” schools that would blend technology and traditional teaching, and—in a first—it wants a “trauma-informed school,” where staff would get training to support students with Post Traumatic Stress Disorder or exposure to trauma.

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Subaverage Appreciation is Costing Chicago Area Homeowners a Fortune – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Home appreciation around Chicago is lagging behind national averages. How much is that costing homeowners? Recently released data suggests roughly $12.3 billion per year is being forfeited by Cook County homeowners alone. Here are the numbers:   Start with the total market value of all homes in Cook County (excluding apartments). The most recently available estimate of that total is $348 billion as of 2013. That’s according to a study recently released by the Civic Federation for Cook County only.   Now, how are homes appreciating in Cook County compared to national averages? S&P’s Case-Shiller

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Our Ten Most Popular Stories of 2015

  By: Mark Glennon*   These stories got the most page views on this site over the past year. This is perhaps a bit distorted towards more recent ones because our readership is increasing rapidly, but property taxes and pensions clearly are the biggest issues for readers here. Rightly so:   #1  Suicidal Property Tax Rates and the Collapse of Chicago’s South Suburbs   #2  Reality Shock: The Highest Property Tax Rates in Cook and Its Collar Counties   #3  New Workers Subsidizing Illinois’ Surging $100,000/year Pension Club   #4  Open mic delivers priceless audio sample of Chicago area government

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Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel Faces Fresh Anger After New Police Shooting – WSJ

Comment: Here’s the most important part of the story, which is representative of much of the business community: “We can’t afford to walk away from him, and we’re not,” said Ty Fahner, president of the civic committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago. Perhaps, but we also can’t afford to walk away from needed reforms, fiscal and otherwise, which Rahm has done and much of the business community permitted. More on that later.

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Desperate actions demanded by desperate taxpayers – Illinois News Network

Should folks living paycheck to paycheck sacrifice their own wellbeing — or their children’s — to ensure greater job security for professors making more than they will likely ever earn?  Our universities exist to educate our young people, yet there are some in academia who don’t see it that way. They view their tenured positions as cozy cocoons protecting them from harsh economic reality.

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Illinois Pension Reform: Three Wrongs Do Not Make a Right – Heritage Foundation

“The governor should also lay out a spending plan for the day when state coffers actually run dry, and make clear that on a day-to-day basis, the first debts that will get paid are emergency services—state troopers, for example, and followed by highway repair, state contractors, salaries of state employees, and so forth. What should be paid last are state pension obligations, and if there is no money left over, too bad.”

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Maywood Named Fourth Most Liberal City in the US – NBC Chicago

Comment: Hmm, let’s check some basic numbers. Average effective property tax is 5.3% for residential and 13.2% for commercial. Police and fire pension unfunded liability is $53 million — for a town with just 26,000. Can’t find their financial statements on their site. Draw your own conclusions.

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Ugly: Chicago Public School Teachers’ Pension Releases New Actuary Report – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Last week, the Chicago Public School Teachers’ Pension Fund posted its actuarial report for the 2015 fiscal year that ended June 30. Like the four pensions for the city itself, that pension for the school district is a major item in Chicago’s financial crisis.   First, a note about the report itself. It’s the usual for public pension actuarial reports — full of obfuscation, loose ends, hidden issues and terms used inconsistently. It presumably complies with accepted standards, but that’s the problem. Like almost all public pension reports, few reporters, policy makers or pension trustees

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Inside the Billion-Dollar Battle for Puerto Rico’s Future – The New York Times

Comment: The facts and circumstances in Puerto Rico are very different from Chicago and many other municipalities in Illinois, but you can expect eventually the same three forces fighting it out the same way here: 1) bondholders with lots of doe and political influence, 2) unions and pensioners also with lots of doe and political influence, and 3) citizens who want basic services who are not well represented or organized.

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Hey, Mike Madigan has a serious primary opponent – Jason Gonzales!

The email below seems to be getting forwarded around widely. It’s from Jason Gonzales who is a Democrat running against House Speaker Mike Madigan. This guy looks serious and has a great resume. This will be interesting! I’m taking on an ambitious and desperately needed project: I’m running against Illinois House Speaker Michael J. Madigan, a 45-year incumbent who has been the longest serving House Speaker in US history and bears much of the blame for our state’s dire financial condition and Illinois’ $113 billion pension crisis. There has never been a better time to run against him. Right now,

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Pension padding: Is it breaking Murphysboro’s bank? The Southern

Comment: A wonderful case study of what’s happening in small towns around the state. Murphysboro, in Southern Illinois, has a population of about 8,000 and a combined police and fire pension deficit of about $8 million. One alderman saw what’s happening and spoke up, making Murphysboro different — most of these towns simply don’t understand their pension problem. (But then, Chicago and the rest of the state don’t, either.)

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The Best, Worst, Wisest and Dumbest Quotes on Illinois’ Economy and Government of 2015 – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   Steel yourself. Don’t expect many laughs. This site is about economics, “the dismal science,” and something more dismal, Illinois government. Here are the most notable quotes for 2015:   Truer words never spoken: “Nobody here really gives a fuck. Everybody here is sleeping. The engineers, everyone that’s here on midnights. They are all fucking sleeping somewhere.”  A security officer at a the water reclamation plant in southwest suburban Stickney.  He accidentally left the microphone open on his radio as he showed the ropes to a new employee, and the conversation was recorded. It’s a perfect

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Retirement-tax resolution – Illinois Policy

Thirty-nine Illinois state representatives have signed on to a resolution stating their opposition to the imposition of a state tax on retirement income as revenue plans circulate ahead of state budget negotiations in 2016.

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Civic Federation’s Annual Effective Tax Rates Report

Comment: It’s shameful that the Civic Federation, which historically was a fiscal watchdog, to publish numbers like this without an accompanying analysis of how damaging many of these rates are. Effective rates in many Chicago areas are suicidal, as Illinois Policy and we have been writing. The Civic Federation has fled the battle and forfeited its credibility.

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Chicago Teachers Union votes to protect power – Reboot

The Chicago Teachers Union voted to strike because their egregious contract demands were not met. One of the main sticking points in the negotiation is that the union is refusing to increase the amount their members contribute to their own pensions. Teachers should be paying 9 percent of their salaries to fund their exorbitant retirement benefits. They currently only pay 2 percent. What’s best for children has never been the priority of CTU and its members.

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Pension penury – News-Gazette

Illinois government isn’t going to shut down. It’ll just continue to limp along in the future as it has in the past, a national joke that’s not funny to the people who live here.

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Why Lincolnshire’s Right-To-Work Enactment Is So Important – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   We told you early this year that right-to-work would likely come to Illinois but it would have nothing to do with what Governor Rauner or the General Assembly do in Springfield, and it would come locally. That’s what happened last night in Lincolnshire, where the village board, by a five to one vote, made the town a right to work zone. This was not like other votes taken earlier this year by other towns, which were nonbinding expressions of policy. Lincolnshire actually enacted right-to-work, and it potentially sets a huge precedent.   You may recall

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Madigan does not understand what’s wrong with Illinois’ economy and broken workers’ compensation system – Illinois Policy

Madigan’s speech revealed that he does not understand Illinois’ economic problems, is ignoring the painful job losses that many in Illinois have experienced, doesn’t have any idea where to turn for solutions, and is determined to resist anything Rauner proposes to change the way economic policy is made in Illinois. The only change Madigan has offered is to suggest that the state’s income tax should go back up to 5 percent. He’s proposed no other reforms except for toothless bills on property taxes and workers’ compensation that would do nothing to improve the current broken systems. Comment: Same, of course,

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Pensions: Back On The Table – WUIS

Comment: They may be back on the table, but don’t expect any serious progress as long as the current crowd controls the General Assembly. Pensions are the primary means by which Illinois and its municipalities are being looted, and public unions will squeeze ever last drop out.

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Retiree awaiting corruption trial still getting $21,000-a-month pension – Chicago Tribune

The case of Bellwood’s Roy McCampbell offers a window into just how long it can take to prosecute lower-profile cases, and how the delay can cost taxpayers in other ways. McCampbell, Bellwood’s former comptroller, was accused of stealing more than $500,000 in allegedly inflated pay from the blue-collar, inner-ring west suburb before he retired in 2010. If convicted, he could lose his $257,000-a-year pension. But because McCampbell hasn’t been convicted, he has continued to receive monthly pension checks, totaling more than $850,000 since the indictmen. That’s on top of the half million he collected in pension payments in the two

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The Chicago Fire – WSJ

“We hope Justice will also investigate whether Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and city officials prevented the release of a videotape of the shooting for political reasons.”

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Union Collective Bargaining Agreements Linked to Chicago Police Misconduct by Independent Study – WP Original

  “I could hire and fire at will.” Adlai Stevenson III, calling for a return to how things worked when he was Illinois Treasurer from 1967 – 1970.   By: Mark Glennon*   Twelve months ago, the City of Chicago received a 70-page independent report on police misconduct with recommendations for changes. The lead authors were Ron Safer, Managing Partner at the Schiff Harden and formerly Chief of the Criminal Division at the U.S. Attorney’s office in Chicago, and James O’Keefe, Ph.D., of A.T. Kearney. Titled, “Preventing and Disciplining Police Misconduct,” the study addressed procedures intended both to prevent and

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It’s Just Math: Time for Illinois’ Pension and Fiscal Reform Opponents to Put Up or Go Away – WP Original

  By: Mark Glennon*   It comes down to a single question in Illinois. Everybody with an opinion about the financial mess should be forced to try to answer: What conceivable combination of tax increases and spending cuts would solve Illinois’ state and local fiscal crises without drastic reforms including cuts in pension benefits and an agenda that grows the tax base?   There is none. For three years we’ve linked here to every significant article, report and analysis we can find, from all sides. None has come remotely close to suggesting an answer. We’ve defied critics in the comments

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Illinois’ unfunded pension liability rises to $111 billion – Reuters

Comment: The COGFA pension briefing referenced in this report is linked here. There’s actually nothing new that’s significant in it — it’s a compilation of the actuarial reports for the state-level pensions that have already been published. These are the official (i.e., junk) numbers based on phony assumptions. As usual, the reporter and the COGFA briefing ignored healthcare liabilities to pensioners, which are entirely unfunded and increase the unfunded liability by roughly 50%.

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Rahm Emanuel is in deep, deep trouble – The Washington Post

“The time for sincere action from Chicago’s mayor might have already passed in the eyes of those who matter.” Comment: Perhaps we’re lucky. Only a few years ago, Rahm was regarded as a likely VP candidate with Hillary. That he’s been fully exposed and the cost born only by Chicago spared the country.

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