53% of the tuition paid at the University of Illinois, Circle Campus, where the protest occurred, goes to college public pensions. Tuition at that campus protest site has rise 74% in the last ten years, and almost all of that extra tuition cost went straight to pay public university administrators’ and professors’ pensions. For twenty years, many will have to work and pay student loan payments. Comment: “Think twice”? They should think once.
In the U.S., federal, state and local governments have very large unfunded pension liabilities that will have worsened with the recent falls in equities and other risk assets. Disputes between Chicago teachers and the governor of Illinois have resulted in a surge in borrowing and in the interest rate paid on new debt.
Under Mayor Richard M. Daley, the city of Chicago chipped in $19 million to build Sky55, a 40-story apartment building that was part of City Hall’s plan to redevelop the South Loop neighborhood where Daley lived. Now, the city’s taxpayers are paying to help fill the privately owned building.
Comment: Reminder that half of state money for higher education goes to pensions.
Polling in fact shows strong support for his agenda.
By: Mark Glennon* I was at the Illinois GOP event at the Palmer House in Chicago Friday night, which was the other target of protesters along with Donald Trump’s cancelled event at UIC. Before going, I read an email from my U.S. Congresswoman, Jan Schakowky, calling for protests at both events. It read: Donald Trump, Bruce Rauner, and Ted Cruz are going to descend on Chicago to spread their message of intolerance, racism, and hate. We need to stand up to their disgusting rhetoric and remind them that Chicago won’t tolerate the garbage they are spewing. I saw plenty of
It brings the effective sales tax rate from 9 percent to 11 percent in part of the village. Madness.
While new state numbers painted a rosier picture of 2015, Illinoisans are still struggling in a poor economic climate.
Author Mary Pat Campbell is an actuary who writes about pensions.
The bloated administration at CSU has pushed up the administrative cost per student to more than $3,600 per student, by far the highest of all Illinois’ public colleges and universities. By comparison, the average MAP grant at CSU is $2,600 per student.
A Comprehensive List of Women Founders In Chicago Tech
During the past eight years, while there has been a 22.5 percent increase in tax revenue in Illinois, the budget deficit has more than doubled from $3 billion to $7 billion and the pension deficit has increased from $48 billion to $110 billion.
Of about $4.1 billion appropriated for higher education in fiscal 2015, more than half went to pensions.
By: Mark Glennon* Did you know Catholic Charities is Illinois’ largest social service provider and gets 70% of its funding from the state? I didn’t. Perhaps the most surprising aspect of Illinois’ financial crisis is the depth of its impact on social services commonly thought to be privately funded or otherwise not heavily reliant on state money. Same, to some extent, for higher education. Was the plight most of them face today foreseeable? Definitely. Avoidable? Not so clear. Major cutbacks loom for groups like Catholic Charities, or have been made already. Catholic Charities, with a budget
The Murphysboro Food Pantry feeds 37,000 people every year, 850 families each month. But with jobs lost from the Illinois budget impasse and a drop in funding from outside sources, the food pantry is now in need of help.
They basically called for a general strike, asking “all concerned Chicago citizens” to skip work and boycott classrooms.
Chicago Public Schools officials told principals on Wednesday that the district is “short the necessary cash for the remainder of the school year” in part because it faces another massive pension payment this summer.
Under existing law, a state cannot go bankrupt. That’s not because the action is forbidden. Not the U.S. Constitution nor any other piece of paper says a state cannot. The bankruptcy code simply does not address the possibility. Now lawyers, politicians and other ingenious folk are looking for a way around that problem — a fact that should come as no surprise, given the perilous financial health of California, Illinois and other states encumbered with crushing debts.
Though property taxes vary from county to county across the state, the average effective rate in Illinois — the proportion of the value of a home that a homeowner must pay each year in taxes — was 2.25 percent, just a hair below the New Jersey rate of 2.29 percent.
Cook County State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez and lawyers acting on behalf of parents owed child support have asked the federal courts to step in to force the state of Illinois to pay up what it owes to cover the costs of enforcing the collection of child support, saying the state’s failure to pass a budget to fund the program has cost Cook County millions, harms the parents and their children and threatens the future viability of the program.
From a threatened teacher strike to an escalating state-level attack on its governance and borrowing powers, the barrage of bad news has not let up since junk-rated Chicago Public Schools sold $725 million of debt at a punishing 8.5% rate.
Because SURS has bigger pensions, it’s no small feat that for the moment TRS is grabbing headlines for more egregious abuses of taxpayer money.
The wealthy are an unstable source because their income fluctuates with markets.
City zoning policies serve to keep many neighborhoods segregated. These rules also keep lower-income residents of all races out of popular areas, allowing city officials to shape who can live where and making housing more expensive.
Comment: Oliver’s video is actually a rather thorough look at the overuse of special taxing districts across the country.
Comment: In Illinois, of course, they’re long past being “undone.” Negative rates would just scatter the ashes.
Comment: Waste of time unless they pay a small fraction of the pension claim and figure out a way to exclude the sick, which is probably impossible.
Trump had the support of 32 percent, followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with 22 percent, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio with 21 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 18 percent. An additional 7 percent were undecided. The poll of 600 registered voters likely to cast a ballot in the Republican primary has an error margin of 4.1 percentage points.
The author is an actuary who writes about pensions. Here, she adds Reboot, Ralph Martire and the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability to her “Wall of Shame” for repeating a pension myth.
Comment: The alleged assault victim is a primary challenger to an incumbent Democratic House member. Hmm. Let’s wait for more details.
Such proposals have a long history. “On Jan. 8, 1919, Gov. Frank O. Lowden (of Illinois) delivered a message to the General Assembly recommending “a consolidation’ of pension fund assets in the state under a central state supervising board.”
State Rep. Jack Franks officially asked McHenry County State’s Attorney Lou Bianchi for a special prosecutor to investigate whether County Board members are working the 1,000 hours a year required to qualify for Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund pensions.
America’s ongoing—and underreported—public sector pension crisis — the role played by institutional greed and fecklessness—greed by public sector unions that have turned so many state and local governments into ATM machines, and fecklessness by politicians who were willing to keep wildly over-promising to keep their campaign contributions flowing.
Nice to see the FT wake up to the pension crisis, which they’ve been overlooking.
Teens from 44 Chicago-area high schools competed Saturday at Soldier Field, but not in an athletic event. Instead, it was a test of teamwork and financial literacy.
By: Mark Glennon* Michael Ferro is the Chairman and largest shareholder of Tribune Publishing, owner of the Chicago Tribune. This week, he said: I now understand how important it is to have real journalism in the world and we’re starting here with our properties around the country. Bloggers can’t be the ones deciding public opinion, deciding presidential races. As for the first part of his comment, let’s just say it’s good he “now” understands the importance, whatever that indicates. But as for the rest, there’s evidently much he doesn’t understand: • Journalists aren’t the
The Chicago Public Schools and the Chicago Teachers Union seem to be engaged in a game of “chicken,” where the both sides continue to decelerate before collision.
Left, Right — nobody likes him.
Illinois is one of only two states nationwide (the other is Texas) that has a law regulating the use of biometric data, such as retina scans, fingerprints, and facial structure.
The Tribune found that McPier’s formula for success is based on a series of optimistic and risky predictions.
Comment: In a sane world, we’d be debating how Chapter 9 can be amended to make it a more efficient means to give zombie municipalities a fresh start. The suggestions in this article mostly would give bondholders a windfall and therefore should be suspect, but that’s a topic for a different day, and some of these suggestions are sensible. One change to Chapter 9 that definitely should be made would be to allow discretion to make pension cuts progressive — protecting the smaller pensioners more than the gluttons. In any event, let’s hope bondholders’ lobbyists don’t hijack Washington to rewrite
“While there is debate in some circles about the economic impact of corporate headquarters, in Chicago there is no denying their power,” says Adam Bruns, managing editor of Site Selection.
“There are about 300 area government retirees collecting pensions of at least $100,000 annually, while 17.6% of St. Claire County residents live below the poverty level, along with 14% of Madison County residents. Across 6 state pension funds, there are 12,154 government pensioners collecting six-figure pensions and 85,893 pensioners collecting more than $50,000 annually, where the state debt per capita is $24,959.”
Democrats once again sought to bolster their election-year campaign attack fodder against Republicans on Thursday, voting for the latest plan to fund higher education and another union-backed measure to prevent a worker lockout or strike following earlier vetoes by Gov. Bruce Rauner.
Tens of millions of Americans are not going to get the benefits they are planning on! This is an underappreciated trend that will have a profound effect on America’s economy. Consider this: In Chicago, a recent report found that the city’s unfunded pension liabilities totaled 10 times the entire city’s revenues. According to analysts, this means that the city will soon be paying 50 percent of its revenue just to cover pension costs. Comment: As we’ve been saying repeatedly, only SOME face genuine hardship. There are haves and have nots, which is why pension reform must include means testing or
BUT NOTE THIS: A concurrent bill provides for dedication of part of property tax levy to pensions only! No surprise that reporter Dave McKinney would ignore that, but the Chicago Teachers Union is sure grateful and called that out. See their statement linked here.
Comment: The premise of this story is that the standoff with Rauner impairs CPS’s ability to borrow. That’s false. Its ability to borrow is already shot, and borrowing wouldn’t solve the problems.
House Republicans’ side of the story is linked here.
In a written statement issued Wednesday, Sandra Martin, chief financial officer of Tribune Publishing, said Ferro’s “divestiture will create a very clear separation of ownership and avoid perceived conflicts of interest, while also providing millions of dollars for community programs and other charitable causes.”
The United States Supreme Court declined to hear an appeal from a New Jersey decision challenging pension underfunding under the Contracts Clause of the U.S. Constitution. A Bond Buyer article on the same story is linked here. Comment: If Illinois was to amend its constitution to allow pension cuts, unions say they would still challenge any cuts as a violation of the U.S Contracts Clause. This case appears to indicate the Supreme Court’s reluctance to hear such a challenge.
Comment: See our recent story about the implications of this Detroit chapter for Illinois.
“Hoping”?
Full COGFA report is linked here.
Unaffordable salaries and pension benefits on top of a structurally unstable retirement system have pushed CPS to the brink of insolvency despite record tax revenues.
Allstate is opening an innovation center in the Merchandise Mart that will bring 400 technology jobs downtown. The Northbrook-based insurer is just the latest in a growing conga line of suburban employers that have either set up satellite offices or moved their entire operations downtown in search of fresh talent.
Present without comment, except to say the Loop and Near North are quite unique.
Comment: They’re “undercover” only because reporters ignore them, focusing, instead, on Madigan-Cullerton stunt government.
Ugly. Below 50 indicates contraction.
Comment: Huge salute to U of C Professors Steve Kaplan and Ellen Rudnick for their work on this. First rate scholars who are also grounded in real world practice who made this work.
Under consideration will be plans that would allow workers at retirement to take pension benefits as a lump-sum cash payment and give up guaranteed pension payments for life. Comment: Don’t get your hopes up. Tiny lump sums would have to be offered to make this work and there wouldn’t be many takers.
“Lawmakers have no excuse for letting the abuse continue.”
By: Mark Glennon* Detroit last week gave us a glimpse of what to expect on a much larger scale in Chicago and across the country as the sheets are gradually pulled off on public pensions. Reality ultimately invalidates wrong assumptions. In the public pension world, that means taxpayer liabilities eventually will spike. Scapegoats will be found, fairly or not. Lawsuits will come. Heads must roll as anger erupts — all financial meltdowns are that way. Officeholders and voters bear primary responsibility, but that won’t matter. Detroit’s mayor announced the startling (to some) conclusion that the city’s
Comment: This is fundamental to why widely-reported state and local budget and spending numbers are bunk. Losses are hidden, among other ways, by underfunding pensions, and ever-worsening unfunded pension liabilities aren’t in budgets.
Illinois’ growing pension costs – not the state budget gridlock – are taking away funding for essential government services, such as education.
A real estate venture created by President Barack Obama’s onetime boss and a nephew of former Mayor Richard M. Daley squandered $68 million it was given to invest on behalf of pension plans for Chicago teachers, cops, city employees and transit workers, a Chicago Sun-Times investigation has found.
Comment: The many headlines about layoff “notices are a bit misleading. Despite the notices — including to the president — university spokesman Tom Wogan said that does not mean the 900 people working at Chicago State all will lose their jobs. He said the school is still trying to determine how many layoffs are needed to offset the loss of funding. “It means that every employee of the university, from the president on down, is susceptible to a layoff.” Wogan said the university has no plans to close, but said it needs the flexibility to make staff reductions to remain
The issue is diversion of Federal money into pensions — money that’s supposed to be helping school districts with large numbers of underprivileged students. Congressman Bob Dold got a fix passed in the House but the Senate stripped it out.
About 380-thousand of them signed up for private plans. But the majority are people on the government’s Medicaid program — who were previously ineligible or chose not to sign up.
And Rauner is letting them get away with it.
According to new polling by right-wing political consultant Frank Luntz, Americans 18 to 26 are extremely liberal — so liberal that “the hostility of young Americans to the underpinnings of the American economy and the American government” should “frighten every business and political leader.”
Mary Pat Campbell, the author, is an actuary who writes about pensions. Next time you hear a politician say Illinois is making “full pension contributions” or “what the actuaries require” tell them they’re lying. Same for almost all local pensions.
Detroit may sue some of the consultants who worked on its bankruptcy over a $490 million pension funding shortfall that will result in bigger-than-expected city payments. The mayor blamed the projected deficit on outdated mortality tables used by the consultants that assume retirees will not live as long. Sound familiar, WirePoints regulars?
One Illinois public university had its credit ratings lowered to junk, and two others had their debt downgraded by Moody’s Investors Service because the state’s record budget impasse has wrecked havoc on college finances.
Nearly a quarter of newly hired teachers will never vest in the state’s Teacher Retirement System, a new analysis says. What’s more, three quarters won’t even make back what they pay into the system. (That’s for new, Tier 2 teachers only.)
Standard trouble-making grandstanding.
One of the budget options Gov. Bruce Rauner presented to lawmakers last week could clear the way for the state to once again short or skip contributions to its beleaguered pension funds. Comment: Wake up, media. We already are shorting contributions. The state makes the contributions required by statute which are far short of what is required to prevent unfunded liabilities from worsening.
Comment and prediction on this story: Just the tip of the iceberg on this topic. Much more to come.
The average Chicago area home is still worth significantly less than it was at the September 2006 peak. Single family homes are still down 23.0% and condos are down 17.5%.
Does more money equal a better education? There’s perhaps no better way to examine that question than the real-life experiment known as the Chicago Public Schools (CPS), where over the past 10 years, enrollment has fallen and spending has soared.
“Illinois’ teacher retirement plan is doing a poor job of serving the majority of its teachers.”
Comment: Don’t get your hopes up, and don’t think that passing a budget means that painful cuts can be eliminated. They won’t be.
It’s “very expensive proposition,” says Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart.
A rebuttal to a recent Crain’s article arguing that corporate headquarters have little impact.
The union is urging the Illinois Commerce Commission, which regulates utilities, to order WEC Energy to hire more full-time personnel. The commission has the power to do that under a state law enacted in 2008. The union is pushing for a workforce of 1,300, up 36 percent from today’s levels. Peoples’ unionized workforce numbers 954, up from a low-water mark of 872 a decade ago.
The Unbalanced Budget Response Act would allow the governor to make cuts and sweep special funds in the upcoming fiscal year. And while Democrat leaders have said the governor could use his line-item veto authority, Governor Bruce Rauner said Monday that won’t solve the state’s problems.
Illinois’ more than 200 hospitals and nearly 50 health systems generate a total impact of $88.8 billion annually on the state’s economy, according to a new report, “Illinois Hospitals and Health Systems $88.8 Billion State Economic Impact” releases recently by the Illinois Health and Hospital Association (IHA).
As expected. Likely to go up on appeal however the trial court rules. Fortunately, it’s in Federal courts where it belongs.
“Not only do these judges benefit from the redistribution of taxpayer wealth, they also rule in their own favor to protect the Illinois pension cabal when practical, necessary reforms are challenged in the courts.”
Comment: The real focus has to be on ending the heroin epidemic. It’s not just a humanitarian crisis but an economic one, at the core of gang violence and soaking up social service spending. Chicago is the distribution center for heroin coming out of Mexico and that’s another reason why the border must be enforced.
Though neighboring and Great Lakes states added a combined 200 factory jobs per workday on net in 2015, an average of 56 Illinois manufacturing workers, on net, received pink slips each workday during the same time.
“We have a duty to evaluate what’s going on in that school district, learn the facts and then decide what’s appropriate action to take,” said Rauner.
Comment: Orrick is a leading California law firm. Municipal bankruptcies are not yet authorized for Illinois, but, if that happens, most of this would apply.
Mayor Rahm Emanuel touted improving graduation rates as he campaigned for re-election last year. But an investigation by WBEZ and the BGA found that graduation rates were inflated, because many principals were regularly labeling students as transfers out of the district when they should have been classified as dropouts. In response, CPS went back and scrutinized who had been counted as a transfer in the past.
You might be surprised to learn that about 70% of the budget for Catholic Charities of Chicago comes from government funds, which are derived in turn from taxes. The developing fiscal crisis in Illinois may illustrate some of the risks in relying on government money for charity.
The Chicago “doctorpreneur” has assembled a group of about 30 physicians to fund health care-related startups at the earliest stages. His pitch is simple: Doctors generally have capital and need to diversify their finances beyond their own practices and the stock market. Meanwhile, one of the biggest barriers for health care entrepreneurs is finding investors comfortable enough with the sector.
Comment: This is about Batnick’s plan to give retirees the option to immediately receive 75 percent of what the state expects they’d earn through their pension over the rest of their lives — which is too high to work.
By: Joe Mathewson* Chicago Public Schools’ desperate and very costly quest for buyers of its recent $725-million bond issue (cut from $875 million) is a harbinger of peril ahead, not only for CPS but for the City of Chicago and other Illinois local governments and special districts relying fatuously on borrowing to pay current expenses. If the Illinois legislature finally passes a pending bill permitting municipalities and special districts to seek relief in U.S. Bankruptcy Court, there might be a parade of them knocking on that door. They’d be well received, for Chapter 9 of the Bankruptcy
For Fred Long, Chicago’s youth-focused nonprofit UCAN has been a ticket to a world that he never even knew existed growing up on the city’s South Side. Comment: If you think you don’t need a reminder about the conditions some kids face, think again and read this story. “As a little kid, my mom would be off doing drugs, and all of us would be left alone at home, hungry and without food,” he recalled. “We’d sit there looking down the street for her — that’s called ‘Window Pain.’ Or sometimes she’d take us on drug runs, where she’d go inside a
IMSA, the Illinois Math and Science Academy, is breeding ground for some of best tech talent in the nation. This article looks at its role in Cleversafe, a hugely successful Illinois data storage company recently acquired by IBM.
Comment: No surprise that the innumerate goofballs at Crain’s would go for the the Civic Federation’s recent budget proposal. For the facts on that proposal, see the Illinois policy article linked here and our earlier one linked here. They want $9 billion in new taxes per year just at the state level, and assumption of liability by Illinois taxpayers of the $10 billion -plus unfunded Chicago teacher pension liability.
And you know who is the least trusted.
Two Mississippi and Alabama hospitals and the county that includes the cities of Biloxi and Gulfport, Miss., have squared off in Chicago federal court with many of the country’s biggest financial institutions over so-called interest rate swaps — an issue now impacting governments and other public bodies throughout the country, including Chicago’s public schools system.
The formula is broken. The whole system, actually, is broken. Roughly half of the money many schools receive doesn’t get squeezed through the formula anymore. Grants have increasingly been sent to school districts as lump sums, in some cases outpacing what districts receive through the means-tested formula.
Treasury Department officials on Friday released $114 million to Illinois agencies to aid homeowners and neighborhoods still struggling due to the 2008 financial meltdown.
Comment: Good to see others going after The Civic Federation, which has gone off the deep end is now seems more like the union-funded CTBA of Ralph Martire. Illinois policy did a great piece linked here on The Civic Federation, and our own earlier one is linked here.
Former State Senator and current President and CEO of the Technology and Manufacturing Association (TMAIllinois.org) Steve Rauschenberger gives a detailed, blunt interview not just on manufacturing but on his own Republican party’s failings.
Comment: Seems like the only opponents on the planet to fair map reforms are Madigan and his friends.
The average Chicago citizen is walking around on real estate with a number of different, overlapping governmental jurisdictions, each of which poses financial implications for any single taxpayer. Calculating the full ‘Taxpayer Burden’ for a Chicago citizen requires analysis and assessment of his or her exposure to the multiple layers of government that are borrowing money, with future tax implications. Comment: That’s the key. Any one jurisdiction may look fixable in isolation, but in aggregate they are not.
A great reminder why government “budgets” mean little.
This analysis found that Illinois’ operating deficit, which has led to more than $6.9 billion in outstanding bills, would not exist if, since 2000, state government had simply paid its employees at a rate relative to what other state governments pay their workers.
A state board that oversees school labor disputes ruled against immediately reinstating raises for education and experience to members of the Chicago Teachers Union, but could reconsider the teachers’ request at a later trial.
This will get mighty interesting.
Illinois state government now pays more for pensions and health care for state workers than it spends on K-12 education, public safety or human services.
Comment: Balanced summary of Rauner’s budget address, drawing the right distinction between the short and long term. Includes an important reminder that one year ago Rauner’s reform agenda had 40 items and he already compromised it down to 5.
A new “metered” approach that will give nonsubscribers access to up to 10 articles each month before being asked to subscribe.
Aim gun at working class, pull trigger. And you may recall that this measure resurfaced after its main sponsor, Alderman Ed Burke, got a $20,000 contribution from corn grower ADM.
US taxpayers, too, are subsidizing the financial contortions of the doomed Chicago Public School District.
The Civic Federation is pushing a $30 billion tax hike in Illinois, following the same mistaken path that got Illinois in today’s fiscal crisis.
$120,000 a year for the new full-time position, plus a pension of $113,000 per year. Age 56. And by Illinois pension laws, Bloom’s pension will grow by 3 percent of that amount each year. Comment: “Madness” is the only word for allowing this to go on and on and on.
Comment: As states with comparatively small pension problems make reforms, Illinois will be rendered still less competitive.
Officials behind “Star Wars” creator George Lucas’ bid to build a museum along Chicago’s lakefront are considering other cities and sites for the project, a city of Chicago lawyer told a federal judge Wednesday, indicating the lawsuit filed to block the proposal has put the project in jeopardy.
Comment: Not one suggests his own plan. Put up or shut up.
She forgot to mention that she got $280,000 for one speech to GTCR, Rauner’s old firm!
Comment: Separately, Dold said he wants to “cover the hell” out of politics. Let’s hope Dold recognizes how poorly the fiscal crisis is covered.Political reporters just don’t understand fiscal issues well enough to cover them.
I stand before you today with respect for our co-equal branches of government – acknowledgment of our shared responsibility for the future – and a deeply-rooted desire to work with each and every one of you to right our ship of state. Although we succeeded last year in eliminating an inherited $1.6 billion budget hole without a tax hike, we are now in our 8th month without a state budget – and court orders are forcing us to spend beyond our means. Shocking, yes. Acceptable, not even close. For more than two decades, we’ve had unsustainable unbalanced budgets, undisciplined spending,
State lawmakers have effectively exempted themselves from the consequences of budget gridlock.
A recent Gallup poll found residents in states with higher tax burdens are more likely to want to move. Illinoisans are the third-most-likely to say they would prefer to move permanently to another state.
Bill sponsor Rep. Andre Thapedi says President Obama’s distinctions as a Nobel Peace Prize winner and first black president of the United States are reasons to honor him.
A U.S. Supreme Court case that could affect Gov. Bruce Rauner’s move to do away with unions’ so-called “fair share” payments is among those thrown into question by the death of Justice Antonin Scalia.
While Illinoisans’ incomes have flatlined since the recession, state tax revenue has grown by more than that in almost every state in the nation.
The fees are on top of the pensions paid in 2014 to 19 CTA board retirees, including top White House aide Valerie Jarrett, who made $11,132 in payroll deductions into the board’s pension fund and began drawing a $35,660-a-year pension at age 50. Jarrett, now 59, has been paid more than $306,000 stemming from the nearly eight years she served as the CTA’s part-time board chair, records show.
“One of the reasons Nebraska has more of these than anywhere else is because of the sheer volume of municipal entities formed.” Comment: Sound familiar? Illinois has more units of government by far than any other state.
“It will take more than a handshake, a vote and a signature to restore spending in FY16 to FY15 levels. There is a $6.6 billion deficit to deal with. Already over seven months into FY16, it is hard to imagine any new sources of sustainable revenue that could be adopted and cover a gap of this magnitude.”
House Bill 580 is similar to Senate Bill 1229 that failed to overcome Rauner’s veto by only a few House votes. If passed, it would treat the members of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 31 like law enforcement or firefighters in that they would not be off the job in the event of an impasse in contract negotiations.
About 150 miles south of Chicago, past open fields and small-town water towers like pushpins on the Illinois map, you’ll find a surprising corporate outcropping. Twenty-five big-name businesses—from Dow Chemical to Yahoo—have set up shop in a cluster of buildings at the University of Illinois Research Park in Champaign.
“Nowhere else in American public education have local mismanagement and Wall Street engineering collided so spectacularly.”
By: Mark Glennon* The Civic Federation had a long, proud history providing an important check on state and local financial management. It sounded the alarm loudly long ago about Illinois’ problems: “Doomsday is here,” said its President, Laurence Msall, six years ago. No more. A noticeable change occurred about three or four years ago. Since then, the alarms have softened. Critical issues are overlooked or given lip service. Limp pension reform proposals dominate. Dire implications of its own research pass without comment. Now, it has worsened. The Civic Federation has become part of the problem. Last
Illinois politicians ignored Caterpillar CEO Doug Oberhelman’s 2012 plea for pro-growth reforms, and Illinois is the only state in the region to have lost manufacturing jobs on net over the last four years.
Residents living in states with the highest aggregated state tax burden are the most likely to report they would like to leave their state if they had the opportunity. Connecticut and New Jersey lead in the percentage of residents who would like to leave their state.
Comment: Yes, and Illinois should be all over this.
Comment: Not very clear what concrete results emerged.
Comment: If we had a buck for every article wasted on the history of our fiscal mess, the problem might be solved. The history matters little. The solution is the issue.
By: Mark Glennon* “Politicians, do your jobs.” “Compromise.” “Can’t we all get along?” In the endless repetition of calls like that, the underlying thought is that “passing a budget” means spending cuts now painfully felt will go away. They won’t. They can’t. It doesn’t matter whether one or the other side caves completely or they split the difference — for a number of years, that is, until longer term solutions hopefully can pass and take hold. As Comptroller Leslie Munger recently pointed out, if we tried to cover current operations from an income tax increase, the
They should have added that 50% of state higher education money is going to pensions.
The money that social service agencies, state colleges and universities are owed by the state is not likely to show up, and new money is not likely to flow to them, either. This is the new normal.
“Speaker of the House Mike Madigan has scheduled Soviet-style show hearings on the topic.”
The Chicago Transit Authority has spent nearly $94 million over 15 years on a retirement program that has allowed former CTA executives to start collecting lucrative pensions in their late 40s and early 50s while also getting paychecks from other government jobs, a Chicago Sun-Times and Better Government Association investigation has found.
Aviation Commissioner Ginger Evans said Friday the city will look for a private company to cover construction costs and operate the system, but it’s likely public money would go into building stations at the airport and downtown if the project moves ahead.
Through House Bill 580, Democrats in the General Assembly take a second run at removing Gov. Bruce Rauner from contract negotiations with AFSCME.
A rash of lawsuits against landlords under the Chicago Residential Landlord Tenant Ordinance has led to questions over whether the ordinance, which governs relations between apartment dwellers and their landlords in the city of Chicago, may need reform. “For a long time I’ve been advising my landlords who don’t want to be professional landlords to sell their properties and get out of Chicago,” said a landlord/tenant lawyer.
Developers will complete a record 4,000 apartments downtown this year and almost 5,000 in 2017, a nearly 28 percent increase in supply, according to Appraisal Research Counselors.
Comment: Illinois stands alone in not even measuring the cost of various clean energy alternatives. Inexcusable. See our earlier article linked here.
Sun-Times Holdings Chairman Bruce Sagan said he isn’t focused on whether the Chicago Sun-Times will ultimately fold into its larger rival, Chicago Tribune, now that the two papers have owners in common. Instead, he’s all about keeping the Sun-Times “viable,” in the face of shrinking industry revenue and circulation.
Sorry, kids. Gotta pay the pensions.
“It is not an accident that bond market professionals are willing to escort governments with significant structural problems down this path. Short time horizons and desperation are a lucrative business for advisory and law firms. Their fees are typically financed through the bond issue in question and, for large borrowers like Chicago, can run into tens of millions of dollars.” Comment: Culpepper is a diamond in the rough — somebody who knows the muni bond industry but has the courage to speak up. We link to her stuff about Illinois whenever we see it. Perhaps her best line here is
There are a number of remarkable expectations in these projections, including a six-fold increase in plan assets, which are projected to reach $6.8 billion in 2041 (up from $1.0 billion in 2014). And the ‘statutory contribution’ is projected to rise from $109 million annually (about twice as high as employee contributions) to about $470 million annually (about six times as high as employee contributions).
“The mineworkers’ pension funds are not the only one in danger of foundering. The Labor Department has placed hundreds in other industries on its list of funds in such poor condition that benefits may be reduced.” Comment: Just a reminder that severe problems with defined benefit pensions aren’t limited to the public sector.
Comment: The misunderstanding reflected here, which is epidemic, is that passing “a budget” means the painful cuts will be restored. They won’t be. We’re running a $6.2 billion annualized excess of expenses over revenue, even with the cuts in place, and excluding the massive pension underfunding. “Compromise” to get a budget won’t help much and nobody wants a tax increase big enough to cover it all.
Comment: The article certainly isn’t true to the headline.
While gas prices have dropped to a 12-year low in Illinois, Chicagoans pay $0.32 more per gallon than the state average due to multiple layers of city, county and state taxation.
Comment: With a ratio of inactives to actives of almost 2:1, unfunded actuarial accrued liability of $45,173,850 — a 30% funded ratio, yes, you can call that a “thorn.” Alston is hardly unusual. Illinois is a thorn garden.
Great study showing how the system is rigged for gluttony at the top and hardship at the bottom. See our own article about the study linked here.
By: Mark Glennon* Public union leaders forever pound their chests about wealth inequality and how our pension system protects the middle class. In fact, Illinois public pensions may be the worst tale of two cities. The gluttony bankrupting us is at the top, which includes union leadership, but it’s very a very different story for the rest. A great new research piece on Teacherspensions.org, a project of Bellweather Education Partners, looks at it for Illinois teachers. Remember from earlier stories that the average member of the state’s teacher retirement system retiring now after working 33 years for
Comment: “The only road forward is through compromise,” the article says. Compromise will will speed the spiral down. The opposite it true. The list of radical reforms needed immediately must be expanded — bankruptcy for many municpalities, pay cuts, layoffs, slashed pension payments. The crisis is now spinning out of control and a state of emergency should be recognized by all.
Comment: Just another indication of the severity of the heroin crisis, which, as a primary cause of crime and gang activity, is helping undermine the entire economy.
Disgraceful.
Comment: TR, especially, would especially love this one: “He has protected more natural resources than any previous president.”
Illinois’ workers’ compensation system’s physician medication-dispensing rules provide incentives for physicians to overprescribe opioid pain medication to workers’ compensation patients.
Financial forecasts for 2016 predict another year of falling sales at most of the largest companies based here, from McDonald’s to United Airlines to Mondelez and even Boeing.
By: Mark Glennon* WirePoints has learned that the Actuarial Board of Counseling and Discipline (the ABCD) recently recommended that Timothy Sharpe, actuary to dozens of troubled Illinois fire and police pension funds, be expelled from membership in the American Academy of Actuaries. If the Academy implements the recommendation, it will be very unusual since only 11 actuaries have been expelled from the Academy since 1975 and only 20 have been otherwise publicly disciplined (http://actuary.org/content/public-discipline). The recommendation is the result of separate complaints by two actuaries, one by actuary Tia Goss Sawhney. Those complaints followed three prior complaints,
The Supreme Court on Tuesday temporarily blocked the Obama administration’s effort to combat climate change by regulating emissions from coal-fired power plants. The brief order was not the last word on the case, which is most likely to return to the Supreme Court after an appeals court considers an expedited challenge from 29 states and dozens of corporations and industry groups. Comment: Pertinent to Illinois’ pending clean energy bills — a multi-billion dollar issue for Illinois consumers.
What the council is doing here is completely tying his hands to make sure no one can look at what they’re doing. Menu money and worker’s comp programs are exactly the type of programs that an IG needs to look at. That’s where the fraud and waste comes from whether intentional or not. By refusing the IG, the City Council is thumbing its nose at the taxpayers and saying they will do whatever they want. The bottom line fact is that the City Council doesn’t want oversight.”
By: Mark Glennon* Boy, do I get emails here. A regular one in particular makes me squirm. It’s not any of the insults like “vulture capitalist” or “pension thief.” Those are fine. Have at it. It’s when I’m asked by Illinoisans, usually young ones, whether they should leave. I’m uncomfortable playing career planner, especially when financial interests have to be balanced against personal issues like leaving one’s home and family. Most importantly, there’s no single answer. But I can’t escape the question, especially when asked what I am doing. Let’s take the economic self-interest matter first
“Counties with colleges are growing, but the rest of the state is losing population—and it could prove costly.” “Could” prove costly?
“Now, instead of rejecting failed policy, the governor is doubling down and holding Illinois citizens hostage with his austerity agenda, which is why we continue to call for a tax on millionaires and the wealthy, for big banks to return money stolen through toxic swap deals, and for a tax increment financing (TIF) surplus declared immediately.” Comment: And they’re teaching the kids math.
Congress needs to have a better understanding of how endowment funds and “the exorbitant cost” of higher education interact, Roskam, of Illinois, said in an interview. “The status quo, in terms of the cost of higher education, isn’t working,” Roskam said. “If the tax code is having an impact one way or another, we need to understand it.”
Comment: What Rahm neglects to say, of course, is that many hundreds of millions of dollars of debt and pension payments could be avoided through bankruptcy.
Obama on Wednesday will address the stalemated Illinois legislature nine years to the day after he announced his presidential campaign a few blocks away.
Comment: “Layoffs.” Wow. Maybe the first time we’ve heard that term coming from a Cook County Dem.
More than two years after federal researchers found high levels of lead in homes where water mains had been replaced or new meters installed, city officials still do little to caution Chicagoans about potential health risks posed by work that Mayor Rahm Emanuel is speeding up across the city.
Among the U.S.’ 50 largest school districts, CPS teachers’ pay ranks No. 1 for teachers with a bachelor’s degree and five years’ experience, No. 2 for first-year teachers with a bachelor’s degree, and No. 3 for first-year teachers with a master’s degree.
The “It’s Rauner’s Fault” meme, long planned by Dems and their friends in the press, is now rolling out in full force.
Comment: This is a must-read for anybody seriously interested in CPS’s crisis and recent bond offering.
“The risk premium, which can exceed half the true pension cost, has been confiscated by the first generation, which bore no risk. In practice, where immediate settlement is not required, risks continually pass to future generations, with surpluses swept off the table and deficits allowed to run for as many generations as possible. “The dependence on future generations of taxpayers violates the fundamental principle of public finance: each generation should pay in full for the services it consumes.
“Free-spending Democratic lawmakers have been blocked by the Republican governor. Result: No budget for seven months (so far).”
The job cuts come on the heels of big losses at HCSC, fueled by capturing a large portion of enrollees who bought health plans on the public health insurance exchange. Through its Blue Cross plans, including in Illinois, HCSC offered some of the lowest-cost policies on the online marketplace, which launched in 2013. The problem was, like for many insurers around the country, many of the enrollees were sick and expensive. Claims racked up. Some health insurers even closed under the financial stress.
Comment: Gotta be kidding (again). They’ll be out of cash in about six months. A lawsuit would take years, which they would not win.
Comment: In other words, Rahm thinks Rauner should have kept his position on bankruptcy quiet and popped it on the buyers later — the Chicago Way.
The exchange handles about one-half of one percent of US stock trades, which may sound small, but the US total of equities trades is $22 trillion.Additional Tribune article linked here.
Comment: Blaming the banks for CPS’s problems is shameless demagoguery by populist quacks. The simple facts are that CPS chose to take a bet based on interest rates. They chose a counterparty to take the other side of that bet — BofA. CPS bet wrong.
Comment: Skip down to the part about Oak Brook — how even a municipality with the best of assets gets slammed by pension liabilities.
“Budget gridlock isn’t why Illinois’ higher-education system is facing financial troubles. The truth is that more than 50 percent of Illinois’ $4.1 billion budget for state universities is spent on retirement costs – making it easy to understand why there’s not money out there for much else. Comment: For higher education and so many other parts of our fiscal crisis, it’s the pensions, stupid.
A response by Sen. Matt Murphy to a particularly goofy article by Sen. Dan Biss.
12 arrested.
It’s over for CPS (in case you didn’t see the numbers long ago). The train wreck for Chicago, too, is just a matter of time.
The “task force” is just a bunch of legislators who will meet under the leadership of Barbara Flynn Currie, a career Madigan stooge. Whoopee.
Ah, yes, Block 37. Another lovely chapter from the Daley Administration.
Comment: Lots of controversy over Illinois Treasurer Mike Frerichs’ recent announcement expanding the investment of state dollars he controls in a fun-of-funds for venture capital.
Lincolnshire, IL recently passed a local right-to-work measure.
Merger with Sun-Times appears inevitable.
Mere months after passing the largest tax hike in modern Chicago history, Mayor Rahm Emanuel vows to hit residents with even higher property-tax bills, this time to bail out pension mismanagement by Chicago Public Schools officials – behavior tacitly endorsed by the Chicago Teachers Union.
Comment: Rahm’s office and some others are blaming Rauner’s bankruptcy talk for higher rates — the “Rauner premium.” Really? The market is that stupid that it didn’t already see bankruptcy risk? And if it is that stupid, it would have been better to hide Rauner’s desires until after the bond sale then pop it on the bondholders?
The author is an actuary who writes about public pensions.
Comment: Some highly unusual analysis of the possibility of bankruptcy was added to the disclosure documents. What’s overlooked is that, while the lien on the special revenues may hold up legally, those revenues may not be there.
“The union faces another problem if they strike. The district’s 130 charter schools serving more than 60,000 students will remain open. With thousands of additional parents on charter waiting lists, a strike would further whet their appetites for choice and drive more parents away from traditional public schools.
Actually, it’s not that hard. It’s just that so many refuse to look at it. It’s just the math.
Comment: Excellent, detailed look at the big picture for our kids, written by a very smart guy, Nick Binotti.
Comment: “Dead” only until the Dems figure out that only bankruptcy and a takeover can cut the pension and bond debt, and that those cuts are essential.
The younger boy looked back at the soldier, a Loyola Academy grad, before leaving and said, “I want to be just like you.”
Hee hee.
Comment: Good luck with that bond issue. Maybe use that “War Bond” thing again.
Comment: That’s the excess of expenses over revenue for the year — $6.2 billion, even with the cuts now in effect. Restoration of the temporary tax increase would not even cover the $6.2 billion.
“Nation’s third-largest district pulled back $875 million offering; rate could be near Puerto Rico’s.”
By: Mark Glennon* In its statement yesterday announcing rejection of the contract offer made by Chicago Public Schools, the Chicago Teachers Union included this: CPS’ uses this math to plug its budget hole: $200 million from the state for pensions $150 million from the state in a school aid formula change $170 million from a new local property tax levy for pensions $150 to $175 million from eliminating the teacher’s pension pickup and from increased healthcare costs. That’s about $700 million. But the offering documents for CPS’s struggling bond offering say its annual structural deficit
A little off-topic for us, but this a great article about a guy with guts.
Mr. Credibility goes to Wall Street.
With a $50 million net loss heading into last fall’s enrollment period for Obamacare, it wouldn’t be surprising if Land of Lincoln Health experienced the same fate as peers that have folded across the country in the past year.
Regular readers here should be able to spot the obvious errors so, this time, we’ll let you do it.
Federal data show how Illinois workers suffer under their state’s anti-manufacturing status quo.
CPS is broke. To preserve funding for the classroom and Chicago’s children, and to keep CPS from going belly up, CPS officials must broker significant concessions from the union.
A market research company is growing pessimistic about Illinois medical marijuana, telling investors that retail sales could reach just $15.6 million in 2016.
Corporations moving their headquarters to Chicago arrive with only a handful of employees and a modest economic impact.
Comment: This crap has been going on for DECADES in Chicago. Here’s the link to the song about them from 44 years ago!
“It’s a benefits crisis. Flint’s money shortage came about largely from high municipal pension obligations and a retiree health plan that could not be properly funded after the biggest taxpayer, General Motors, moved out. “The city’s population shrunk, the city budget shrunk, and wages shrunk, but benefits for retirees could not shrink because of protections in the state constitution. Currently, pensions and retiree health care consume 33% of general fund expense and 20% of all city spending. The city has been in receivership since December 2011. “Flint is not the first victim of excessive municipal benefits—and it won’t be the
Comment: Smart guy (to whom I’m grateful).
A response from a local trader on the proposed financial transaction tax.
The NYT article itself is linked here. Illinois progressives have been pushing this idea locally — the “LaSalle Street Tax.” Whether local or Federal, it would slam Chicago’s financial sector.
Chicago’s many bureaucratic barriers to starting a business shield established businesses from competition and keep low-income entrepreneurs from getting ahead.
“Perhaps it’s time for all the Rauner critics to put their plan to save Illinois on the table. Or, as they used do say in the neighborhood where I grew up, ‘It’s time to put up or shut up.’”
Senate, Deputy GOP Leader Matt Murphy called the bill “a hollow, empty gesture.” He said it amounts to telling constituents, “Hey, we passed this bill for $720 million for you — just don’t look under the hood and realize we actually don’t have $720 million.”
Instead of spending reform and policies to promote economic growth, Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan proposes the same high-taxing, big-spending plans that got Illinois into its current fiscal mess.
Behold the Chicago Cubs. By: Mark Glennon* The inevitable is here. The real importance of Governor Rauner’s proposal to authorize optional bankruptcy for Chicago Public Schools and the city is putting bankruptcy into the mainstream narrative. That’s good, and years overdue, but it also means we’ll be doubling down on the confusion, ignorance and political distortion that has plagued the debate about our fiscal crisis. On this site we will focus hard on ensuring that all good articles about municipal bankruptcy for Illinois get posted, and we’ll try to cut through the fog. It’s not an easy topic, as I
Surprise: Ukranian Village.
“You can boil Wednesday’s speech down to a nine-word answer from Rauner: Because Illinois has to grow more taxpayers. That’s why.”
The percentage of Chicago-area home borrowers seriously “underwater” on their mortgages dipped at the end of last year but remained nearly twice the national figure, according to a report.
Comment: Hard to envision any bailout getting through Congress. It would essentially mean taxpayers in the majority of states that have been comparatively responsible would pay up for the minority of states that have been comparatively irresponsible, the major ones being Illinois, New Jersey, California and New York. How does that get through the Senate? And if the Federal Reserve Bank tried to do this without Congress there would be a national uproar.
Rauner says he wants to get the state out of legal agreements called consent decrees. The deals are a big part of the reason the government is still operating without a budget; they also impact the lives of thousands of Illinois residents. But unless you are affected by one, you’ve probably never heard of them.
Part of the problem is we don’t offer new teachers a reasonable and reliable retirement plan. New, “Tier 2” teachers are promised very little, and the promise is unreliable. They are forced to subsidize the fat cats in Tier 1. Worse, a huge portion of new teachers will get nothing at all. See our earlier article on this linked here.
Comment: Nah, too easy.
In Illinois, the report says that Amazon in 2014 sold $1.8 billion worth of retail goods and would have avoided $36.1 million in sales taxes. The report equated this amount to 1,289 retail storefronts, or 4.5 million square feet of commercial space, which would mean an estimated $23.6 million was lost in property taxes.
Comment: Be assured Illinois Dems won’t support anything more than the Rauner-Cullerton deal now on the table, which could save around $1 billion per year — not nearly enough.
Comment: That’s what low business tax rates get you (which businesses don’t pay — they collect them from individuals).
Comment: The Tribune brags a bit — as it should — about its role uncovering the red light camera scandal, and asks the right question about pervasive corruption.
After years of delay, the financially troubled suburb of Harvey has begun filing a backlog of state-mandated financial audits, showing the city has gone far deeper in the financial hole since the last audit was filed more than seven years ago. Prediction: Dozens and dozens of Illinois municipalities will be exposed as being horribly insolvent.
Comment: About as much chance as CPS bonds getting paid back. Folks, the entire financial story of Chicago has become a farce. It’s really getting hard to comment seriously on so much of this.
Cullerton: “One [thing to change] is the special ed bloc grant where the city gets extra money. We’re going to eliminate that. Number two, Chicago has a special deal in that they don’t get any money for their [teacher] pensions. We’re going to eliminate that, too. When you do that and you do a new school aid formula that’s focused on providing money for the poorer school districts statewide, Chicago will probably benefit . . . The pension parity is worth about $200 million.” Dear Senator Cullerton: CPS’ structural deficit is at least $1.1 billion. Your proposal won’t solve much.
Key people include Chicagoans Lois Scott and Jim Spiotto.
“It’s an issue that’s not going away.” Comment: In a sense, it’s not an “issue.” Dozens of Illinois municipalities are deeply insolvent — unquestionably — and don’t have a snowball’s chance of recover unless pension and other debt gets slashed, which only bankruptcy offers.
From 2009 to 2014, the state added $8.9 billion in new tax dollars to the education budget, over and above the base amount of $6.8 billion it spent in 2009. Of those new dollars spent, 89 percent went to retirement costs and just 11 percent made it to classrooms.
Comment: A pretty good article, unlike most that come out of our crappy Springfield press corps.
The Arizona company showered him with more than $18,000 in posh hotel stays, fancy dinners and other gifts. It also hired a buddy of the defendant to pass him $560,000 in bribes, said prosecutors.
Blacks and Hispanics continue to be significantly behind with 47 percent of young Black men (20-24) and 20 percent of young Hispanic men jobless and out of school in Chicago. This is compared to 32 percent nationwide and 31 percent in both New York and Los Angeles for Black men and 18 percent nationwide and in New York 27 percent and Los Angeles 14 percent for Hispanics. The situation is even worse for Chicago’s Black and Hispanic teens (16-19) with 88 percent of Blacks and 85 percent of Hispanic’s in that group not working, compared to 71 percent nationwide.
Comment: The pension deal would accomplish far too little.
Mautino, the former Deputy Leader in the general assembly, was the anointed pick of powerful House Speaker Michael J. Madigan (D-Chicago).
Something good done by, yes, the Emanuel Administration.
Gotta be kidding.
Comment: The longer we wait on real reform for public pensions, the deeper the cuts will inevitably be, making genuine hardship stories like this more common.
Comment: Keep going with that notion.
Illinois paid $53 million more to borrow money through its Jan. 14 bond sale than it would have paid had politicians not let the state’s debt and government-worker pension obligations spiral out of control, while driving out taxpaying residents and businesses through tax hikes and costly regulations.
At the rotten core of Illinois governance lurked this big lie: If you ran a city or a school system or a statehouse, you perpetually could force Tomorrow to pay for Yesterday and Today. Each mini-generation — a new mayor or governor, a new cohort of legislators, a new county board — could spend and borrow and force their children to pay for it all.
Entrenched political interests giving Rauner no room for reforms.
Big win for plaintiffs’ lawyers. More municipal liability for taxpayers to fund.
Read up, folks.
Comment: The leading proponent of this one-time, unsustainable fix — a raid on taxes paid for a different purpose — is Barbara Flynn Currie, pictured. She’s among the most financially illiterate legislators I’ve ever met. Styling herself as a “progressive independent,” she in fact is a career lieutenant for Michael Madigan. And she’s the House Majority Leader!
Comment: Yes, actually, it’s a further nightmare for a system already doomed. And Elaine Nekritz is an “expert” on pensions? She’s another reason why they are doomed.
Canhead Keeton says he can make up to $1,000 a day and even $8,000 for a weekend of renting out his head.
By: Mark Glennon* The Center for Tax and Budget Accountability today released a report titled, Public Pensions: Frequently Asked Questions. The “average” annual pension benefit for Illinois statewide pensions is just $45,832, says the report. Sounds pretty reasonable, which is why “averages” like that have been central to public unions’ messaging about pensions for years. It’s bunk. While it might be true in a very literal sense, it’s so misleading and incomplete that it can only be described as dishonest. Here’s why: “Average” pensions include those who work only part of their careers in the system providing the pension.
“The Illinois governor’s bid to take over the Chicago school system faces hurdles—but something must be done.”
“[I]t’s eternally perplexing to witness how easily the Democrats in this state change the storyline, deflect and get away with lies.” Comment: Outstanding piece by Tribune editorial writer Kristen McQueary, loaded with undeniable facts. Too bad Tribune’s reporters aren’t as good.
Whoa! The Tribune’s liberal, Eric Zorn, had the question occur to him!
Comment: The “old co/new co” concept discussed in this article about Detroit is the same thing we wrote could be done for Chicago, probably without the need for a bankruptcy proceeding, but get the same result and a fresh financial start. It would save Rahm the embarrassment of a formal bankruptcy. Our earlier articles about that are linked here and here. Problem is, the state and the city would need the political will to actually fix CPS, which they do not have.
“Boss Democrats used CPS to build their power. They kept property taxes low and they cut deals with the school unions for good wages and very good pensions. The unions paid them back with loyalty and votes. And the bosses became wealthy by leveraging that power. Now they want you to pay.”
Comment: The proposal would not solve the problem anyway. However, it would save about $1 billion per year, which is certainly significant, without a constitutional amendment.
By: Mark Glennon* The water disaster in Flint, Michigan proves you can’t “run government like a business.” And since you can’t run government like a business, the recent proposal to change control over Chicago Public Schools and authorize bankruptcy is a terrible idea. That’s a perfectly fair summary of a Crain’s editorial this week. It parrots the lines about Flint being used by Mike Madigan and his spokesman, Steve Brown. Flint’s water, they say, invalidates Rauner. Only in Illinois. *Mark Glennon is founder of WirePoints. Opinions expressed are his own. Updated to add the material
The numbers pertain to the 2012 fiscal year, the most recent year for which data is available. The average state-local tax burden is 9.9% nationally, but in these six states, state and local taxes amount to 11% or higher: 12.7% New York 12.6% Connecticut 12.2% New Jersey 11% California 11% Illinois 11% Wisconsin
Translation: Gimme, gimme, gimme.
“Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner has the hardest job in America—saving Illinois from public union power—so wish him luck in his latest showdown.”
By: Mark Glennon* “The Cost of Gridlock” is Crain’s headline about a recent University of Illinois Study that quantified Illinois’ higher borrowing cost. The study said no such thing. It compared recent Illinois borrowing cost to those in 2006. Illinois paid a penalty of about $53 million on its recent $513 million bond offering, the study says, if you compare its pricing to 2006 Illinois bonds. Fair enough. Let’s assume that’s right. It certainly does not say that’s the price of gridlock. Many bad things happened since 2006 that hurt Illinois’ borrowing costs, beyond the
Not for readers here. We told you this was coming years ago. It’s inevitable and long overdue for dozens of municipalities, and delay is costing hundreds of millions.
And linked here is Crain’s editorial saying it’s a stupid idea, their proof being Flint, MI. Seriously!
Note his warning at the end: “Until the educators and politicians have the stomach to start demanding something from parents–and are given means to back up the demands with action–we’re going to have generation after generation, slogging along in the same rut. We can’t afford it. Today it is a problem. In a generation or two, it will be chaos.” Separately, he wrote, “Show me the worst school districts in Detroit, New York, Chicago and Los Angeles, and I’ll show you parents that shouldn’t be raising a Chia Pet, much less a child.”
Comment: Kick that can. Another one-time revenue source that would solve nothing. These morons are relentless.
Comment: One political problem with doing it this way — City Dems would blame the GOP for the bankruptcy, though city Dems made it inevitable.
One of Chicago’s bright spots.
“It turns out that many of the factors that crushed factories and manufacturers may also hurt Chicago’s burgeoning tech sector.”
Comment: It’s inevitable for dozens and dozens of Illinois municipalities, including CPS and, yes, Chicago.
Rauner unveiled a new program Tuesday aimed at helping minority and women entrepreneurs grow their businesses, saying African-Americans didn’t come to Chicago “because we had a great welfare system or a great minimum wage,” but because they were seeking opportunity that has since “bled away.”
http://ilnews.org/7288/governor-requests-ilrb-review-of-negotiations-rep-sandack-review-could-be-good-for-taxpayers-and-more-from-inn-radio/
One leaves every five minutes.
Comment: We beg to differ on this point (to put it mildly): “We don’t think the district quite meets the strict legal definition of ‘insolvency’ under Chapter 9, at least not yet.”
A new report by Governor Bruce Rauner’s administration projects that the State of Illinois’ backlog of unpaid bills could grow to $25.0 billion in FY2019 from $4.4 billion in FY2015 based on current tax and spending policies.
We’re that red blob in the middle.
Comment: Jim Edgar’s culpability for our problems and lack of credibility goes far beyond the “Edgar Ramp” for pensions, for reasons we wrote about earlier.
They don’t like us there, as you might guess.
So far, AFSCME has stuck with its demands of step salary increases of 3.8 percent, along with regular wage increases. The union also has failed to budge on workers receiving overtime pay after 37.5 hours. It’s estimated the AFSCME proposal would cost the state $1.6 billion per year.
Why are some states losing people, even as the country continues to grow? Jobs, jobs, jobs (and, in some cases, aging).
Preface: The following was submitted by “A Recovering Pension Actuary” – somebody I believe to be knowledgeable and credible who asked to be kept anonymous. I certainly think it’s true that actuaries shouldn’t bear too much blame for the problems with Chicago Teachers’ Pension Fund and our other unfunded pensions. Beyond that, I’ll let you judge for yourself. -Mark Glennon No one blames the coroner for a homicide that he examines; people hold the killer accountable. Likewise, we shouldn’t castigate the actuaries for the funded status of the CTPF – the real villains are the legislators in Springfield.
The budget impasse in Illinois is beginning to depress enrollments at the state’s colleges and universities, as state money earmarked for low-income students remains tied up in a political stalemate that shows no signs of easing.
Well done, Booth!
Author Mary Pat Campbell is an actuary who writes about pensions and local fiscal issues.
Mike Hoffman to head CMS. Jean Bohnhoff to head Department on Aging.
Total eclipse will run through southern tip of Illinois.
University of Illinois President Timothy says he agrees with some of the concerns about excessive spending at public universities raised by an aide to Governor Bruce Rauner.
“State employee unions already indicated opposition to Cullerton’s plan, which is said to include a provision that makes employees choose between retaining cost-of-living increases in retirement or taking pay raises now. That may not be the offer made to employees.”
Taxpayers United of American chief said the “largesse is stolen from a constituency whose standard of living is far below the ‘civil servants’ they support.” He also referred to the public employee pension system as a “Ponzi-scheme” generated by “Chicago Machine Boss (Mike) Madigan” and his “cronyism with unions.”
Author Jan Schakowsky represents the Ninth Congressional District of Illinois in Congress. Presented without comment (for now).
In 2015, eight of the organizations in Crain’s annual list of Chicago’s largest employers shrank their local full-time headcount. Only five of them grew that headcount by 5 percent or more.
Organized labor in Illinois is unified against Gov. Bruce Rauner’s decision to seek regulators’ review of contract negotiations with state employees. Republicans back the GOP governor.
723 otters made the ultimate sacrifice last year.
Illinois companies attracted more than $1.1 billion in venture capital in 2015, ranking it sixth in a survey of 2015 funding.
S&P cut the rating two notches to B-plus, while warning it could fall even further if the nation’s third-largest school district fails to beef up cash flow to cover costs.
Most of it applies to all Illinois pension systems.
By: Mark Glennon* A new study by the Center for State and Local Government Excellence looks at city unfunded pension liabilities under new governmental accounting standards. Some cities, unlike Chicago, participate in state-wide pension “cost-sharing” plans. The new standards require each city to include its shared liability in such plans, which increases their reported liability. This new study reflects those changes and measures unfunded liability as a percentage of each city’s revenue. Despite those negative adjustments for other cities, Chicago is worst of 173 cities measured. Its unfunded pension liabilities are 359% of its revenues The 173-city average
“The oil industry actually employs more people than the coal industry in southern Illinois, or did,” says trade association head.
In most cases, the only way to stop an SSA is to petition against it, which relies on citizens organizing and finding the voters and property owners to oppose the tax in writing. Here’s an example of how the game works: Conrad Frederick twice voted in favor of an SSA in Wheaton in 2009 and 2011, because he was a registered voter and failed to sign a petition opposing it. Actually, Mr. Frederick couldn’t have signed any petition because he died in 2008, but since he was on the voter roll, he counted in the base number to determine if
Companies such as Amazon Web Services are warning their customers in Chicago that they’ll be collecting the city’s new 5.25 percent tax on their bills in the new year. For some companies, that could mean an annual tax in the six figures that will pinch profits or increase their burn rates, which could cause them to slow their rate of expansion.
Illinois could have saved a cumulative $3.5 billion had AFSCME salaries simply grown at the rate of inflation since 2004.
You have squandered believability. Face it. Own it. Chicagoans sense that you are not leveling with them. Latest example: When you quickly follow a big property tax hike with a request for more billions in borrowing authority, they also sense that you have no strategy beyond running from problems. That you’ve doomed them and their children to … more big tax hikes. Five years in, your City Hall still spends far more than its income justifies.
Rauner took a shot at “waste” and “cronyism” in public universities Wednesday, telling lawmakers through a surrogate that schools should be more accountable for their spending before the state finds money for tuition grants which Democrats are pushing.
At the request of the anti-Emanuel Progressive Caucus, Emanuel shrunk his massive borrowing plan — by another $200 million — to ease concerns about lucrative swap termination fees paid to major banks.
Chicago was a finalist to score General Electric’s corporate headquarters — and 800 jobs — but the state’s pension crisis and the condition of Chicago’s public schools helped remove it from the running, sources close to the selection process told the Tribune on Wednesday. Getting GE Healthcare was a “consolation prize.”
A property tax increase helped shore up the city’s police and fire fighter pensions, but the Windy City is still cash strapped. Comment: One credit card to another.
Comment: So are dozens of other Illinois municipalities.
In his 21 years in Chicago politics Obama refrained from criticising the US’s most corrupt political machine.
“My estimate is that just in the last two years we probably have lost out on about $40 million,” Sheldon said. “With the fiscal crisis that Illinois is in, I think it’s inexcusable.”
A 2.3% penalty over comparable benchmark bonds.
“There is no history, only biography.” -Ralph Waldo Emerson Don’t look just at the trees as you read the articles grading Bruce Rauner on this first inauguration anniversary — whether his specific and tangible changes were enough given the legislature he had. That’s important, but there’s more. See the forest. Consider the entirely of what changed since he arrived. It’s an entirely new paradigm in Springfield. Once forbidden topics are now debated. Major directional change finally is at least on the table. Most importantly, a redirected and reinvigorated Republican party is setting a course for restoration
Comment: The lion’s share of the budget is mandated or nondiscretionary. Don’t expect Attorney General Madigan to lift a finger helping.
Routine matters that once sailed through without a whimper were placed under the microscope — and it wasn’t limited to the protracted debate over Emanuel’s plan to borrow a record $3 billion. No issue was too small for the laser-like focus.
“There comes a point when the government does so much that you’re afraid to move and go forward,” said the owner of The Olive Tap. “So we’re going to use 2016 as a transition year. Instead of being angry, I’m just looking at other states and locations and making plans to move.”
GE Healthcare is moving its corporate headquarters from the U.K. to Chicago, its CEO said Monday. “Senior executive leadership team” only is making the move. No word on how many that means.
“We’re looking at applying economic pressure on January 15th. We want to affect trading at the exchanges that Friday. We want to see if we can throw them off. We believe those are the people Rahm listens to, and they won’t want us down there disrupting the trading.” Comment: Most protesters have been peaceful, principled and lawful, but this is planning for something that’s probably criminal.
The agri-business project, an aquaponics facility, will combine conventional aquaculture with hydroponics. The energy project will retrofit locomotive engines to reduce harmful emissions and increase fuel efficiency.
Illinois’ manufacturing job losses accelerated in 2015, while most neighboring and Great Lakes states continued to post gains in factory jobs.
Activists from across Chicago long have stood together with the teachers union in its bitter feuds with Emanuel. But in only the last 1-1/2 years, financial connections have added to those ideological ties. A newly wealthy charitable foundation formed by the CTU is funding the three groups at the November rally and many other organizations allied with the union.
Comment: This article isn’t about municipal finance specifically, but the point applies. All you need to know is that the raters are selected and paid by the very bond issuers they rate.
That’s just fees, not interest. Wait until they see what bankruptcy lawyers cost.
Comment: Good. Let’s hope the quality improves, too.
By: Mark Glennon* One particular piece of bragging in the offering materials** for Chicago’s upcoming bond sale caught my attention. No, it wasn’t any of the silly ones like “stable population and business base” or “proven record of implementing reforms.” And, no, it wasn’t any of the obvious ones like “commitment to raising revenues.” It was this one: “gaining high income households rapidly, rising median family income.” That seems harmless on its face, but what’s it really saying? Let’s think about it remembering that the city’s population is declining and factor in some other recent news. It’s not something self-styled
White House Chief of Staff: “I just had a chance to be back in Chicago, actually, my in-laws live in Chicago and I tell you, the city looks great, the opportunities there are boundless. And so, I think what the President sees is a city and a people of Chicago and a Mayor of Chicago that continue to do very good work.” Comment: Got that, you jobless slackers? Your opportunities are “boundless” here. Now, just shut up and be happy with Rahm.
How out-of-touch and out-of-date are union leaders and even some older teachers? The real sticking issue in this strike is that teachers don’t want to be measured and evaluated. They’re even demanding that teachers laid off for their incompetence be automatically rehired before newer, better-trained and more tech-savvy new teachers are hired. But this strike is going to make parents a lot more receptive to new tools, technologies and learning environments. Comment: The author, Howard Tullman, is a brilliant and irrepressible leader in Chicago’s tech community — and he’s a Chicago Dem!
Comment: Wouldn’t you love have seen Rahm’s face if he read this — “hmmm.”
The rats are starting to abandon the ship.
Excellent list of Rahm’s sins beyond the shooting cover-up.
Comment: What, you ask, does this have to do with our economy? Lots. The heroin epidemic is a central cause of gang violence and a host of other problems. Chicago is a distribution center for heroin coming out of Mexico.
My, my, the left sure doesn’t like him.
City Hall is floating a nearly $1 billion plan to add one final new runway at O’Hare International Airport, a step that would pretty much conclude the giant O’Hare Modernization Program that began 15 years ago.
Not only are city officials making Chicagoans pay more for services that aren’t working, they are making them shoulder the highest tax burden in the state.
Mondelez International’s allergy-free unit, Enjoy Life Foods, will move its lone manufacturing facility to southern Indiana from Schiller Park in the second quarter in a bid to expand capacity fourfold. The move will result in 125 to 150 job losses in the Chicago area, though all plant employees were offered employment at the new plant in Jeffersonville.
Comment: Count on this becoming the basic message of public unions — “It’s all Rauner’s fault.”
…after laughing the idea off a couple days ago.
Comment: Follow Lincolnshire’s lead and make it a right-to-work zone.
http://www.bettergov.org/news/illinois-pols-forge-cuba-connection
Comment: Let bond investors give us all they want prior to the inevitable bankruptcy.
Additional projections are linked here.
Prime Chicago river-front real estate with a rundown housing complex costs all taxpayers millions of dollars a year, even though most of the complex sits empty.
“Emanuel’s lawyers were offering $5 million in hush money to keep the video hidden just weeks before the runoff election.”
Seven years after former Mayor Richard Daley pushed through his much-loathed $1.15 billion deal to lease the city’s parking meters, a former executive has been quietly charged with taking kickbacks to steer a multimillion-dollar contract to install the privately owned meters.
Comment: Read this for an unusually candid and accurate professional view on Chicago’s financial issues.
“Vehemently opposed by the City Council’s two most powerful aldermen: Finance Committee Chairman Edward Burke (14th) and Budget Committee Chairman Carrie Austin (34th).”
The contract “is filled with fascinating tidbits.” Comment: Holy crap. Not just tidbits. Some of this is outrageous.
Nearly 2.4 projects are successfully funded a day. Maybe CPS can give it a try.
United Van Lines’ annual look at where people are moving to and from in the nation again showed Illinois in the third-highest spot of people who are leaving the state. The Land of Lincoln was narrowly edged out by New Jersey and New York.
Some government school boards have absolutely no regard for the taxpayers they are supposed to serve. Not only are we forced to fund these outrageous pensions, now Highland Park wants taxpayers to approve a $198 million property tax increase referendum to build a new campus ‘for the children,’ which really means that it’s a new fortress for government bureaucrats.”
“I went into this line of work because I care about kids. But just because I care about kids doesn’t mean I also want to support a government union. Unfortunately, I have no choice. To keep my job at the state, I have to pay monthly fees to the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, or AFSCME, a public employee union that claims to ‘represent’ me.”
Though the condo market is coming back, the rental market has been on fire, so converting back to apartments has made sense in some smaller to mid-sized buildings.
Mayor Rahm Emanuel said there is no need for a federal probe into his Law Department after a judge said a city lawyer withheld evidence in a police shooting case. Jan. 5, 2016.
“Our Chicago education startups such as ThinkCERCA aren’t making headlines about valuations. Instead, they’re gaining traction, earning profits and providing meaningful solutions to students. Isn’t that what technology is supposed to do?”
Translation: Rahm wants a bailout from state taxpayers. The reality is that nothing the state could afford would come close to fixing CPS. See the numbers in our recent article on that.
“The recurring theme from many of the political elite, government unions, and phony government watchdog groups has been to balk at any discussion of reforming Illinois’ unrestrained spending and unfunded liabilities, instead shifting the focus to raising more revenue.”
Absurdly high property taxes demand bold reforms from Illinois lawmakers. New recommendations from a state task force show exactly what kind.
Comment: She’s particularly good on local working class issues. Let’s hope she ends up somewhere independent of the sell-side bias that encumbers many pundits like her.
The author is a an actuary who writes about pensions.
Taxpayers pay once for state politicians’ salaries and another 1.5 times for their bankrupt pension system. In 2017, taxpayers will contribute the equivalent of nearly $123,000 for each lawmaker just to keep the General Assembly Retirement System afloat.
Statewide in 2015, 30,357 of the state’s 100,689 retired teachers and administrators got pensions higher than their average highest pay while they were working.
By: Mark Glennon* The most common criticism of Governor Rauner I hear, even from his supporters, is poor messaging and communication — he just doesn’t get out and articulate his reasoning often and clearly enough. It’s a fair criticism. To a large extent, however, it’s not fairly reported when he does. Today was a great example. Linked here is a nice, clear 13 minute audio if you want to understand his perspective on a number of things — CPS’s budget problems, Rahm’s troubles, the budget fight with Madigan and more. Especially notable is his emphasis on
“The choice isn’t between Rauner and some imaginary progressive utopia. It’s between Rauner’s reforms and more Madigan misrule. That’s an easy choice to make.”
Comment: Be careful. Most investments will be losers.
The Flash Index fell to 105.5 in December from its 106.1 level in November. This is not only the lowest reading all year, but the lowest reading since March 2013. The Illinois economy is still growing, as the reading is above 100, the dividing line between growth and decline. However, this reading suggests that the state’s economy slowed considerably in the last part of 2015.
“You see, the Land of Lincoln is the Land of Let It Ride so long as Illinois’ elected kingpins are collecting the vig.”
Comment: This is about Puerto Rico, but pay attention. Dipping into these funds may well be the prelude to payment defaults that you’ll see with Illinois municipalities, too.
“I am one of 10 California teachers suing to end compulsory union dues in Friedrichs v. California Teachers Association, which will be heard by the Supreme Court Jan. 11. Our request is simple: Strike down laws in 23 states that require workers who decline to join a union to pay fees anyway.”
The state plans to conduct a $480 million general obligation bond sale on Jan. 14. The money would be used for road and transit projects and to pay related costs.
In Illinois, net pension benefits are actually negative for a 25-year-old teacher who teaches anything less than 26 years. Meanwhile, an Illinois teacher who stays for a total of 30 years receives a net lifetime pension benefit of $389,000. Comment: We’ve been pounding on this repeatedly. Senior pensioners are ripping off junior pensioners, not just taxpayers.
Progress is often hard to measure, but in the coming year in Chicago, there will be one revealing indicator: how many citizens are being Tased. More, note, is likely to be better.
Families that lie to get their children into Chicago’s elite selective-enrollment schools seldom face serious consequences, leaving parents to assume there is “little to be lost by committing fraud to get into these highly competitive schools,” the district’s inspector general says in an annual report released Monday.
Comment: Some recent articles have expressed relief that total appraised values have recovered. That’s misleading because those numbers include new properties. The numbers cited here have new appraisals separated out.
Illinois’ 2011 reform of its workers’ compensation law left a loophole that’s driving up overall costs.
Gerchen Keller Capital is the largest firm of its kind in the world. Starting out with $100 million from a dozen investors (two were anchors), the Chicago-based business has grown to $1.4 billion in assets under management. In addition to funding early stage lawsuits, it buys legal fee, judgment and settlement receivables from finished cases.
This is much more than a story about a politician’s career struggles. What’s happening in Chicago is an earthquake that points to the escalating crisis of governability for blue cities across the United States. There are at least six dimensions to this crisis. Comment: Must-read. This a a fundamental issue of governability.
Wards run by longtime Democratic powerhouses Ald. Edward M. Burke (14th) and Illinois House Speaker Michael J. Madigan, the committeeman of the 13th Ward, paid about 1 percent each of the property taxes owed by Chicago landowners.
*By Mark Glennon Much of Chicago’s media praised the city’s property tax increase as a bold step towards solving its financial crisis. Property taxes are “the best way to soak the rich,” said a Crain’s headline. Give credit where it’s due, to Al Jazeera, for its story today, Chicago’s historic property tax increase expected to burden working class. That headline says it all. They got the facts right. Read the whole thing. *Mark Glennon is founder of WirePoints. Opinions expressed are his own.
“You know who would have profited in Chicago? The people on the inside, with clout. If we weren’t so hardened by ‘the Chicago Way,’ maybe our city could have reveled in the Games.”
The sales-tax hike Cook County officials approved in July takes effect Jan. 1, 2016, just in time for end-of-season holiday shopping deals.
Democratic House Speaker Michael Madigan has been on a fundraising tear, courtesy of a quirk in state campaign finance law that allows him to amass multiple five-figure contributions from the same donor into four funds he controls. As a result, Madigan raised more than $7.1 million in 2015, including $2.8 million that arrived in December alone, State Board of Elections reports showed. That 2015 total is about $2.3 million more than what Madigan collected during the same pre-election period two years ago.
Whether Illinois ends its current budget stalemate is almost beside the point. Fiscally, the state is doomed unless it finds a solution to its pension nightmare.
“Carthage must be destroyed.” – Cato the Elder, Roman Senator By: Mark Glennon* The core identity of moral and fiscal bankruptcy in Illinois government cannot be denied. It controls the Illinois General Assembly, Chicago and Cook County. “The machine” isn’t often used to describe it any longer, but the “Chicago way” now universally communicates its infamy. It has defied its end as persistently as did Carthage before Cato. Carthage was a mortal threat to the Roman Republic in the second century BC and had rebuilt itself time and again after earlier Roman invasions. Its total destruction was Rome’s only option,
In a Request for Proposals issued Wednesday, CPS says it’s looking for dual language schools, “Next Generation” schools that would blend technology and traditional teaching, and—in a first—it wants a “trauma-informed school,” where staff would get training to support students with Post Traumatic Stress Disorder or exposure to trauma.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/chicagos-deep-dish-of-worry-1451496356
The cost for Illinois to implement Real ID requirements for Illinois driver’s licenses as dictated by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security could be as high as $60 million, according to Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White’s office.
By: Mark Glennon* Home appreciation around Chicago is lagging behind national averages. How much is that costing homeowners? Recently released data suggests roughly $12.3 billion per year is being forfeited by Cook County homeowners alone. Here are the numbers: Start with the total market value of all homes in Cook County (excluding apartments). The most recently available estimate of that total is $348 billion as of 2013. That’s according to a study recently released by the Civic Federation for Cook County only. Now, how are homes appreciating in Cook County compared to national averages? S&P’s Case-Shiller
The finances of the Chicago schools are in such dire straits that it cost the Chicago Board of Education more to borrow for three months than some governments have to pay for a 30-year loan. Comment: For you new arrivals from Pluto, CPS is toast.
Gov. Bruce Rauner and lawmakers still haven’t agreed on a state budget, but they did come together to approve more than 230 new laws that take effect with the new year, from charging a $5 police body camera fee to outlawing so-called gay conversion therapy for minors to designating an official state pie.
Part 2 of Illinois’ broken workers’ compensation system: the reform law signed by Gov. Rod Blagojevich in 2005, which addressed medical fees and billing, provided benefit increases, and contained anti-fraud provisions.
Left-leaning politicians from Rhode Island to California are increasingly supporting more aggressive overhauls of government pension benefits despite opposition from labor officials.
Cook County’s new 1 percent hotel tax will raise Chicago’s combined hotel tax to 17.4 percent in 2016.
By: Mark Glennon* These stories got the most page views on this site over the past year. This is perhaps a bit distorted towards more recent ones because our readership is increasing rapidly, but property taxes and pensions clearly are the biggest issues for readers here. Rightly so: #1 Suicidal Property Tax Rates and the Collapse of Chicago’s South Suburbs #2 Reality Shock: The Highest Property Tax Rates in Cook and Its Collar Counties #3 New Workers Subsidizing Illinois’ Surging $100,000/year Pension Club #4 Open mic delivers priceless audio sample of Chicago area government
Comment: Here’s the most important part of the story, which is representative of much of the business community: “We can’t afford to walk away from him, and we’re not,” said Ty Fahner, president of the civic committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago. Perhaps, but we also can’t afford to walk away from needed reforms, fiscal and otherwise, which Rahm has done and much of the business community permitted. More on that later.
In the last few years, another kind of school is opening — schools that charge college prices for a K-12 education.
Comment: Don’t go there. It was built on graft.
The 2011 income-tax hike was supposed to address the state’s unpaid bills and ailing government-worker pensions; but five years and $31 billion in additional revenues later, Illinois’ unpaid bills are back up to 2011 levels, and the state’s government-worker pension debt has soared to $111 billion.
From a ban on creating new units of local government to the end of Chicago’s happy-hour prohibition, here are five laws passed in 2015 worth celebrating.
For months, CPS has refused to provide records to back up the $1 billion figure. But a CPS summary report obtained from another source and other records cast doubt on Emanuel’s claimed cost-cutting.
Among a long list of provisions, the agreement calls for the Illinois Department of Corrections to build four new treatment units, including at Logan, Pontiac and Dixon prisons, at a cost of $40 million. Hiring new staff members is expected to reach another $40 million a year.
Breaking down the overall high cost and regulatory burden borne by businesses.
Lost in the unions’ coordinated efforts was the fact that Lincolnshire taxpayers (and voters) support their elected Village Board and approved of its passing the worker-empowerment ordinance.
Demonstrators shut down this city’s so-called Magnificent Mile and entrances to several stores Thursday, disrupting last-minute holiday shopping and demanding the resignations of the mayor and prosecutor.
Comment: The bill is sponsored by one of Madigan’s lackies, Barbara Flynn-Currie, so it’s safe to assume it’s another sham bill that won’t work. But count on them using it during their campaigns as proof they’re fighting for the little guys.
By starting with market and specific customer needs, the Midwest has developed a foundation for sustainable economic impact from new business creation. Consequently, this region is less likely to feel the effects if/when the next tech bubble does burst.
Median household income in the Chicago area is growing at just a fraction of the national level, but just how much less varies significantly, depending on where you live. Complete study and map is linked here.
The new report from the U.S. Census Bureau drives home the state’s desperate need for pro-growth economic, spending and political reforms.
Should folks living paycheck to paycheck sacrifice their own wellbeing — or their children’s — to ensure greater job security for professors making more than they will likely ever earn? Our universities exist to educate our young people, yet there are some in academia who don’t see it that way. They view their tenured positions as cozy cocoons protecting them from harsh economic reality.
Comment: The state is mighty lucky to have people like Hardik Bhatt taking on challenges like this.
Suggestion: Don’t confuse a professional’s trade with a sound investment.
Besides magically controlling Springfield from his Southwest Side base, Madigan also has time for his private practice, which has made untold millions appealing property tax assessments for many rich real estate owners.
The fictional family from “Home Alone” has paid nearly $750,000 in property taxes since the film’s release, and real Illinois families are struggling under a massive local tax burden.
“The governor should also lay out a spending plan for the day when state coffers actually run dry, and make clear that on a day-to-day basis, the first debts that will get paid are emergency services—state troopers, for example, and followed by highway repair, state contractors, salaries of state employees, and so forth. What should be paid last are state pension obligations, and if there is no money left over, too bad.”
Gains went mostly to the sunbelt. Wall Street Journal article linked here.
As the state nears the six-month mark of operating without a budget, legislators are scrounging for every possible source of extra revenue short of digging in the seat cushions in the House and Senate for loose change.
Without Right to Work, the answer is yes.
During its recovery from the Great Recession, Illinois has put seven people on food stamps for every six people added to employment rolls.
Comment: Note the fixation on near-term liquidity. Never mind that CPS has long been grossly insolvent, and was even while all agencies still had it rated investment grade.
State Board of Elections’ filings show the Speaker collected over half a million dollars from union reps and trial lawyers Thursday, December 17 – the same day another budget meeting was scheduled.
Comment: Hmm, let’s check some basic numbers. Average effective property tax is 5.3% for residential and 13.2% for commercial. Police and fire pension unfunded liability is $53 million — for a town with just 26,000. Can’t find their financial statements on their site. Draw your own conclusions.
Specifically at risk are complaints and records relating to every investigation of police misconduct dating back to 1967. The city agreed to hand over the records, but the Chicago Fraternal Order of Police wasn’t having it, arguing that the union’s contract allows complaints against officers to be destroyed after five years.
By: Mark Glennon* Last week, the Chicago Public School Teachers’ Pension Fund posted its actuarial report for the 2015 fiscal year that ended June 30. Like the four pensions for the city itself, that pension for the school district is a major item in Chicago’s financial crisis. First, a note about the report itself. It’s the usual for public pension actuarial reports — full of obfuscation, loose ends, hidden issues and terms used inconsistently. It presumably complies with accepted standards, but that’s the problem. Like almost all public pension reports, few reporters, policy makers or pension trustees
Comment: The facts and circumstances in Puerto Rico are very different from Chicago and many other municipalities in Illinois, but you can expect eventually the same three forces fighting it out the same way here: 1) bondholders with lots of doe and political influence, 2) unions and pensioners also with lots of doe and political influence, and 3) citizens who want basic services who are not well represented or organized.
The email below seems to be getting forwarded around widely. It’s from Jason Gonzales who is a Democrat running against House Speaker Mike Madigan. This guy looks serious and has a great resume. This will be interesting! I’m taking on an ambitious and desperately needed project: I’m running against Illinois House Speaker Michael J. Madigan, a 45-year incumbent who has been the longest serving House Speaker in US history and bears much of the blame for our state’s dire financial condition and Illinois’ $113 billion pension crisis. There has never been a better time to run against him. Right now,
Comment: THIS is the retail market Chicago protesters should be targeting, not Michigan Avenue or State Street. They would get a twofer — lots of attention to their primary cause and a blow to the heroin epidemic, which is key to much of Chicago’s problems.
Comment: A wonderful case study of what’s happening in small towns around the state. Murphysboro, in Southern Illinois, has a population of about 8,000 and a combined police and fire pension deficit of about $8 million. One alderman saw what’s happening and spoke up, making Murphysboro different — most of these towns simply don’t understand their pension problem. (But then, Chicago and the rest of the state don’t, either.)
About time all universities do the same.
New federal data show Illinois gained only 400 jobs in November, and its unemployment rate rose to 5.7 percent.
Comment: Harvey’s effective residential property tax rate is 5.7% and its commercial rate is 14.5%. How many more bullets can it put into its own head?
Since Rita Crundwell’s conviction in April 2012, the city of Dixon has recouped about $10.3 million from the sale of her ill-gotten gains.
By: Mark Glennon* Steel yourself. Don’t expect many laughs. This site is about economics, “the dismal science,” and something more dismal, Illinois government. Here are the most notable quotes for 2015: Truer words never spoken: “Nobody here really gives a fuck. Everybody here is sleeping. The engineers, everyone that’s here on midnights. They are all fucking sleeping somewhere.” A security officer at a the water reclamation plant in southwest suburban Stickney. He accidentally left the microphone open on his radio as he showed the ropes to a new employee, and the conversation was recorded. It’s a perfect
Thirty-nine Illinois state representatives have signed on to a resolution stating their opposition to the imposition of a state tax on retirement income as revenue plans circulate ahead of state budget negotiations in 2016.
“Pro-Union” Illinois has lost 10 percent of its union jobs over the last 10 years. “Anti-union” Indiana has seen a 5 percent increase. Why? Because you have to have companies that manufacture to have union jobs and Illinois is losing its manufacturing jobs.
Illinois has more individual units of government than any other state. A report approved yesterday by a gubernatorial task force says that ought to change.
Comment: It’s shameful that the Civic Federation, which historically was a fiscal watchdog, to publish numbers like this without an accompanying analysis of how damaging many of these rates are. Effective rates in many Chicago areas are suicidal, as Illinois Policy and we have been writing. The Civic Federation has fled the battle and forfeited its credibility.
A comprehensive report on property taxes, which have become a tragedy for homeowners across Illinois. The full report is linked here.
Comment: The author, Bill Bergman, is on to a profoundly important issue in our banking and municipal finance system: We’ve basically outsourced judgement to rating agencies, and we shouldn’t. They’re rotten with a conflict of interest because they are paid by the issuers they rate.
The Chicago Teachers Union voted to strike because their egregious contract demands were not met. One of the main sticking points in the negotiation is that the union is refusing to increase the amount their members contribute to their own pensions. Teachers should be paying 9 percent of their salaries to fund their exorbitant retirement benefits. They currently only pay 2 percent. What’s best for children has never been the priority of CTU and its members.
The village will levy $697,784, which is 60 percent of its total 2015 tax levy, for police pensions. That is a 22.6 percent increase from its 2014 levy (taxes are always paid a year later).
Illinois government isn’t going to shut down. It’ll just continue to limp along in the future as it has in the past, a national joke that’s not funny to the people who live here.
The basketball legend had vowed to donate the cash this summer after winning an $8.9 million jury verdict against Dominick’s for the unauthorized use of his name in an advertisement.
No worker should be forced to pay a union in order to have or hold onto a job. Workers in Lincolnshire are now the first in Illinois to be guaranteed this basic right, as the Village Board voted Dec. 14 to adopt local Right to Work.
Comment: Just a reminder that Rahm has three other crises on his hands besides police conduct — Homan Square, CHA nonfeasance and a third to come soon. Oops, forgot a fourth — Chicago is bankrupt.
Comment: The Left around the country is starting to really come down on Chicago.
By: Mark Glennon* We told you early this year that right-to-work would likely come to Illinois but it would have nothing to do with what Governor Rauner or the General Assembly do in Springfield, and it would come locally. That’s what happened last night in Lincolnshire, where the village board, by a five to one vote, made the town a right to work zone. This was not like other votes taken earlier this year by other towns, which were nonbinding expressions of policy. Lincolnshire actually enacted right-to-work, and it potentially sets a huge precedent. You may recall
Comment: A Chicago Inspector General with full funding and authority should be a no-brainer if the City had a shred of genuine interest in reform. Cover-up isn’t limited to police misconduct around here.
Local cities and schools may be looking at preemptive strikes to battle the possibility of a statewide property tax freeze.
Hundreds of thousands of Illinois workers are forced to pay union dues to keep their jobs. But close by, worker freedom reigns.
Comment: This is the real thing, not like one of the earlier, non-binding votes on Rauner’s turnaround agenda. This is a municipality acting on its own. Will be litigated but its position is strong. Others will follow.
Hasan Edmonds was arrested at Chicago’s Midway Airport on March 25 as he tried to fly to Egypt. The cousins’ plan called for Hasan to leave the United States and join Islamic State fighters while Jonas carried out the attack, according to an affidavit attached to the criminal complaint.
Tens of thousands of Chicago police misconduct files could be purged due to lawsuits filed by police unions.
The attached memo dated Friday was released by CPS regarding its near term cash crunch.
Madigan’s speech revealed that he does not understand Illinois’ economic problems, is ignoring the painful job losses that many in Illinois have experienced, doesn’t have any idea where to turn for solutions, and is determined to resist anything Rauner proposes to change the way economic policy is made in Illinois. The only change Madigan has offered is to suggest that the state’s income tax should go back up to 5 percent. He’s proposed no other reforms except for toothless bills on property taxes and workers’ compensation that would do nothing to improve the current broken systems. Comment: Same, of course,
Comment: They may be back on the table, but don’t expect any serious progress as long as the current crowd controls the General Assembly. Pensions are the primary means by which Illinois and its municipalities are being looted, and public unions will squeeze ever last drop out.
The case of Bellwood’s Roy McCampbell offers a window into just how long it can take to prosecute lower-profile cases, and how the delay can cost taxpayers in other ways. McCampbell, Bellwood’s former comptroller, was accused of stealing more than $500,000 in allegedly inflated pay from the blue-collar, inner-ring west suburb before he retired in 2010. If convicted, he could lose his $257,000-a-year pension. But because McCampbell hasn’t been convicted, he has continued to receive monthly pension checks, totaling more than $850,000 since the indictmen. That’s on top of the half million he collected in pension payments in the two
Comment: Don’t know who is behind this site, but it’s a pretty good list of why all sides are unhappy with him.
Younger faces are in. The Al Sharptons and Jesse Jacksons are out.
“We hope Justice will also investigate whether Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and city officials prevented the release of a videotape of the shooting for political reasons.”
The state is itself violating the privacy of thousands of Illinoisans by giving their Social Security numbers and other personal information to a third party – specifically, the Service Employees International Union, or SEIU – without those persons’ permission and without any apparent data security requirements.
“I could hire and fire at will.” Adlai Stevenson III, calling for a return to how things worked when he was Illinois Treasurer from 1967 – 1970. By: Mark Glennon* Twelve months ago, the City of Chicago received a 70-page independent report on police misconduct with recommendations for changes. The lead authors were Ron Safer, Managing Partner at the Schiff Harden and formerly Chief of the Criminal Division at the U.S. Attorney’s office in Chicago, and James O’Keefe, Ph.D., of A.T. Kearney. Titled, “Preventing and Disciplining Police Misconduct,” the study addressed procedures intended both to prevent and
A state report shows plans for more layoffs amid an already difficult jobs climate in Illinois, especially for blue-collar workers.
Memo to Paul Krugman: You don’t need to go to Portugal to find that. Look at tax rates in Chicago’s suburbs and see what’s happening. Labor mobility and out-migration from one country to another within the EU is not unique — it’s greater from state to state.
Sanity, for a change.
Sound familiar? Read this and you’ll see most of the same stuff we usually get from critics on this site. Thanks to Jack Dean of Pension Tsunami for sending this.
A lengthy study delivered to Rahm a year ago was ignored. From its main author: “You cannot have education-based discipline under the current collective bargaining agreement.”
“A 1.25 percent jump in income taxes would hardly place a burden on [Madigan]. It wouldn’t mean the difference in choosing between paying for groceries or his electric bill. It wouldn’t eliminate the possibility of him dining out once every so often or taking a vacation.” Comment: An outstanding article from one of our worst-off communities. Read it.
By: Mark Glennon* It comes down to a single question in Illinois. Everybody with an opinion about the financial mess should be forced to try to answer: What conceivable combination of tax increases and spending cuts would solve Illinois’ state and local fiscal crises without drastic reforms including cuts in pension benefits and an agenda that grows the tax base? There is none. For three years we’ve linked here to every significant article, report and analysis we can find, from all sides. None has come remotely close to suggesting an answer. We’ve defied critics in the comments
Long active in Chicago’s tech community, Chris Gladwin has always been a class guy.
Comment: The COGFA pension briefing referenced in this report is linked here. There’s actually nothing new that’s significant in it — it’s a compilation of the actuarial reports for the state-level pensions that have already been published. These are the official (i.e., junk) numbers based on phony assumptions. As usual, the reporter and the COGFA briefing ignored healthcare liabilities to pensioners, which are entirely unfunded and increase the unfunded liability by roughly 50%.
One investigation could put the police department under control of a federal monitor, and the other could put police officers in jail.
The bill calls for Puerto Rico — and all the states — to disclose, for the first time, the true financial condition of their pension systems for government workers. Currently, governments use actuarial numbers, which can significantly understate a pension plan’s cost. Comment: Let’s hope it would apply to municipalities as well.
We’ll be including that one in our annual article on the most outrageous quotes of the year.
“The time for sincere action from Chicago’s mayor might have already passed in the eyes of those who matter.” Comment: Perhaps we’re lucky. Only a few years ago, Rahm was regarded as a likely VP candidate with Hillary. That he’s been fully exposed and the cost born only by Chicago spared the country.
Diverting taxpayer dollars from pensions to salaries, underfunding pensions, and providing unsustainably high pension benefits have caused Elgin, Illinois’ combined police and firefighter pension shortfalls to double in just nine years to $180 million.
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