The Center for Tax and Budget Accountability has a piece out today linked here challenging the “narrative,” as they call it, about shrinking Illinois that’s being misused, as they see it, to justify policy reforms.
It’s really a problem of too few people moving in, not people moving out, they say. We’re actually pretty content with how we’re doing, is their point. And property taxes have no influence on where people move, they say.
No. Negative net migration is what counts, and it’s bad, no matter which side of the equation is the cause. In fact, you should expect lower in-migration to suffer long before out-migration accelerates. That’s because people leaving another state, for whatever reason, are already in a position to move and are doing so, but not choosing Illinois. But it takes years for those who become fed up to make a move — they have to find a new job, wait for kids to graduate, sell their homes and so on. Polls here have long shown that a staggering 50% of Illinoisans say they want to leave. Many will, but it takes time.
And as for their claim that property taxes don’t influence moving, well, I think you know.
The CTBA is a union-dominated and heavily union-funded propaganda machine, and their propaganda isn’t very good.