Hometown developers of projects like Vista Tower, Lincoln Yards and Bank of America Tower are putting money in other cities. ‘We love Chicago but are super nervous.’ – Chicago Tribune

Uncertainty over property taxes is paired with other issues already on the radar of big, institutional real estate investors. Those worries include ongoing city and state fiscal woes stemming from soaring pension obligations, as well as potential Chicago policy changes such as increased affordable housing requirements, rent control and tax-increment financing (TIF) reform. Construction costs also have been rising. “Most of our institutional investors have basically redlined Chicago,” said a major institutional investor. “They are not going to deploy capital here."
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Gemini
6 years ago

“Most of our institutional investors have basically redlined Chicago,” Diedrich said. “They are not going to deploy capital here.”

Tells you all you need to know, right there. The death spiral has officially begun.

debtsor
6 years ago

So basically, the ‘smart’ money is leaving the city and county, leaving only the local goofs who have nothing better to do than make ‘deals’ for a living, for better or for worse. These guys, if they’re not making ‘deals’, they’re not working, and there’s no point to even going in to the office in the morning. So they’ll make bad deals, knowing that they’re bad, just to justify their jobs, because they have to. “Combined sales of office, apartment, hotel and industrial buildings in Chicago totaled $3.9 billion through the first three quarters of 2019, on pace to fall… Read more »

willowglen
6 years ago
Reply to  debtsor

This article touches on the issues raised in a Points and Figures blog a few weeks ago. The author of this blog indicated that as large of a problem as property taxes are and likely will be in the future, of greater significance are the socio-economic requirements for affordable housing and the like, which require a great subsidy from the qualifying renters to be viable. Note that the author uses the terms “renters”, as renting is far more preferable than owning in Chicago. A fascinating perspective. Note that while so-called dumb money will stick around to do deals locally, at… Read more »

debtsor
6 years ago
Reply to  willowglen

The affordability crisis will solve itself in time as soon there will be too few renters for too many rental properties.

joe strzalka
6 years ago
Reply to  debtsor

debtsor is absolutely correct on that last point

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Mark Glennon on AM560’s Morning Answer: Chicago pension buyout plan mostly shifts debt rather than eliminating it, property tax surge doubles inflation over three decades

Chicago’s political leadership is floating a pension buyout program as evidence it is seriously addressing the city’s thirty-six-billion-dollar unfunded pension liability, but Mark Glennon, founder of the Illinois policy research organization Wirepoints, said that the proposal moves debt from one column to another rather than reducing it, and that the broader fiscal picture facing the city continues to deteriorate across every measurable dimension. Audio here.

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