The computers inside the Argonne National Laboratory are humming 24 hours a day and churning out data for the city at a critical time in our history. Said Dr. Charles Macal is a senior systems engineer toiling exclusively over COVID-19 information: “We have a lot of computing power right here at Argonne Lab. Probably as much as anywhere in the world.”
Tablet, laptop, pc, or supercomputer it doesn’t matter. Garbage in = garbage out.
debtsor
6 years ago
God help us all if the quants are in charge of infectious disease modeling. We’ve seen what damage their profession did to the financial markets. This group of people, all of whom miss the forest for the trees, will likely end up causing more deaths with their absurd computer based predictions.
Dr Nemo
6 years ago
This is an information-free report. “They are using hard data.” What data would that be? What assumptions underlie the models the computers are using. Who determines what those assumptions are and on what basis. The models indicate a second wave is possible? Possible is a weasel word in this context. That takes in anything from “remotely possible” to “highly likely”. How likely or unlikely is a second wave? What assumptions and data are employed to reach that conclusion? The article invites the reader to believe that the engineers have got this without giving any reason whatsoever to believe that they… Read more »
A largely unasked question is becoming glaring: Is Illinois doing all it should to use artificial intelligence to make government cost less and work better? So far, the evidence says no.
Tablet, laptop, pc, or supercomputer it doesn’t matter. Garbage in = garbage out.
God help us all if the quants are in charge of infectious disease modeling. We’ve seen what damage their profession did to the financial markets. This group of people, all of whom miss the forest for the trees, will likely end up causing more deaths with their absurd computer based predictions.
This is an information-free report. “They are using hard data.” What data would that be? What assumptions underlie the models the computers are using. Who determines what those assumptions are and on what basis. The models indicate a second wave is possible? Possible is a weasel word in this context. That takes in anything from “remotely possible” to “highly likely”. How likely or unlikely is a second wave? What assumptions and data are employed to reach that conclusion? The article invites the reader to believe that the engineers have got this without giving any reason whatsoever to believe that they… Read more »
They’re pumping out wrong predictions