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Summary and audio linked here.
Chicago’s political leadership is floating a pension buyout program as evidence it is seriously addressing the city’s thirty-six-billion-dollar unfunded pension liability, but Mark Glennon, founder of the Illinois policy research organization Wirepoints, said that the proposal moves debt from one column to another rather than reducing it, and that the broader fiscal picture facing the city continues to deteriorate across every measurable dimension. Audio here.
Expect no retraction or apology. This what they do.
The state’s existing buyout program for its own pensions is the precedent for Chicago, which should be a warning: Look out for similar exaggerated claims and shoddy analysis.
Full interview and summary linked here.
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He will continue to pontificate, virtue signal & obfuscate until Election Day…
The ONLY way this law gets changed or hopefully repealed is if JBP loses & a red wave hits the IL legislature…
I’m cautiously optimistic, I look at NY which is heavily (D) & there is a good chance the (R) wins the Governorship…
Same In MI, and of course who can forget 2016…
Bailey is currently sitting with less than one percent chance to win. There is one scenario (out of 40k) where Bailey gets 49.6% to JB’s 48.8. That’s better odds than the lotto. Who knows?
You have 7 more days to dream and then reality will need to set in. Maybe Bailey will get 42% and you can have a moral victory. That would certainly show those Democrats.
Every blue state is having a shift to the right. Many races in IL are shifting to the right including two Supreme Court seats that were gerrymandered as D shoe-ins are suddenly competitive. Why would IL’s gov race be any different? Not saying he’s going to win but 42% is pretty low for a red wave environment when Trump had 41% in a blue wave environment in 2020.
Where are these statewide races that are tightening? Bailey less than 1% chance. Salvi less than 1% chance. “Not saying he’s going to win but 42% is pretty low for a red wave environment when Trump had 41% in a blue wave environment in 2020.” And Trump had 38% in 2016 when he was elected. Also, the polls don’t align to your hope. Bailey getting 42% of the vote would be a high mark for a Trump candidate in Illinois. But who knows? As I noted, there is one scenario where Bailey could get almost 50%. It’s not that it’s… Read more »
Bailey getting 42% of the vote would be a high mark for a Trump candidate in Illinois. Yes, it would, and given what is happening nationally, it’s not unreasonable. I get your point, you think Bailey is so bad of a candidate, that the red wave will provide no boost at all, and that will extend throughout the ballot. That’s OK to have that opinion, I don’t think it’s correct, and it is disregards all of the other evidence showing that independents and suburban women and hispanics have taken a hard right, and even support ‘trumper’ candidates this election, but… Read more »
Can Bailey convert the anti-JB-ambivalent-Baily voters? There are a lot of voters out there that want to throw a middle finger up to JB but are not thrilled w/ Bailey. Do they leave it blank (or Libertarian) or go Bailey? A few months ago, I was planning to vote L in protest of Bailey being the nominee. Now, I’m leaning Bailey only because JB bankrolled him and I feel the only way to get JB’s attention is to vote for the “dangerous” person JB helped get to this point. JB wanted to suppress my vote. Total d*ck move. Do I… Read more »
Bailey as the nominee will not lose a single R vote. Not a single vote.
Bailey only needs a high turnout of the 2,446,891 Trump voters along with a lower turnout of the 2,479,746 JB voters from 2018.
Not saying Bailey is going to win. But if other races nationally go red – NY, NV, PA – then Bailey has a decent chance.
In fact, in Illinois, Trump as the Republican nominee had more votes than any other president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 blowout, and before that, it was Nixon in 1972.
Trump’s endorsement of Bailey was a great political move.
“Bailey as the nominee will not lose a single R vote. Not a single vote.” Only in your convoluted mind where a Registered Republican isn’t a Republican. Registered republicans and democrats will cross over in this election just like every single election ever. When it’s all said and done we will know just how many. I don’t think it will be a significant percentage but stating “not a single vote” is ridiculous. As nixit states in this thread, he is contemplating not voting for him. You think he is the only one? Bailey doesn’t have a decent chance. You’re living… Read more »
I’ve assumed JB was a lock since Day 1, more so when Irvin faded and Bailey won the primary. All I wanted out of this election was to make JB sweat. I think Bailey’s ceiling is 46%, even in a “red wave” year. If Bailey cracks 45% I’ll be surprised.
Completely agree nixit. Once Bailey won the primary, the results were cooked. Brady’s (R) vote count for Governor in 2010 massive red wave election was under 46% and that was against Quinn.
The ILGOP needs to do a better job producing candidates that can actually win in a general election.
Keep in mind Bailey hitting 46% would mean JB only gets 52% (Libertarians actually might do better than 2%), which considering all his “successes” running the state under a super-majority, would be a pretty flimsy victory.
Rep Tim Ozinga might be the next Republican hopeful. Moderate with a strong suburban base, owns a company that requires good relations with trade unions. He’s been quietly building up funding. He’ll have a full term under his belt come next election.
Arbuckle had an epiphany or in the vernacular of politics a CYA moment. But will he do anything? If anyone is asking, I like Hochul in the NY race; she’s got the look of an executioner. Her face was molded by a ham fisted sculpture.