Darren Bailey polls show gubernatorial candidate trailing as he gets critical campaign funding boost – ABC7 (Chicago)

The poll, conducted by Victory Geek August 25 to 28, shows Gov. JB Pritzker leading 57-37% with 6% undecided.
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debtsor
1 year ago

If this is true, 57% will vote for JB again despite his terrible policies, then it’s more confirmation that the state is beyond repair.

Pensions Paid First
1 year ago
Reply to  debtsor

That path for Bailey winning is not visible from the land of Lincoln. A bit tough to win if your high water mark is around 42%. That of course is being generous.

debtsor
1 year ago

Rauner won in 2014 during a red wave with low Democrat turnout. There is a path but it’s narrow. I’ve never once said it wasn’t any other than a difficult path. But JB too is a weak candidate despite the high marks because he’s inexorably tied to Biden’s unpopularity with independents. Polling shows Biden’s approval rating between 31% last month to 40% today but heading back down again. Although few strategists will admit this, JB is relying on independents to split their tickets and vote Democrat for state offices while polling consistently shows that independents will be voting Republican nationally.… Read more »

Pensions Paid First
1 year ago
Reply to  debtsor

Biden’s low approval and yet Bailey is still polling around 38% over the last two months. You’re living in the land of make believe. Rauner won after Quinn abandoned unions and went after their pensions. Regardless of what you believe, union leaders did not support Quinn and caused the democrat to get less than 1.7 million votes. 4 years later, JB gets full support from union members and those that had a deep hatred for Trump to get almost 2.5 million votes. Rauner also had money to run a campaign. He also had a different position on abortion than Bailey.… Read more »

debtsor
1 year ago

The over/under for Bailey is the same as Rauner got in 2014. Rauner only lost 100,000 votes between 2014 and 2018. All of those went to the Conservative Party stooge (who is now under federal indictment) I suspect Bailey will perform at or better than Rauner in 2014. The Republican turnout figures have been pretty consistent for decades. I don’t buy that Quinn lost because of the unions. Like the unions unions were going let Rauner win. Rauner gave them the Janus decision LOL. D’s didn’t show up in 2014 because the D base is unreliable and fickle. That’s kind… Read more »

Last edited 1 year ago by debtsor

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