Forrest Claypool: Can bond vigilantes save Chicago? – Chicago Tribune*

"What if Chicago government tried to issue more debt to pay for unaffordable budgets, but no one bought the city’s bonds? Far-fetched as it sounds, it’s not inconceivable. ... More than 43 percent of Chicago’s budget is consumed by debt service and pension payments, by far the highest in the nation. (The median nationally is 12 percent.) And pension debt is accelerating, rising $24 billion in the last decade even as taxpayers poured an extraordinary $20 billion into the city’s five funds."
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P T Bombast
10 months ago

Think revenue bonds for transit or Skyway. Repayment comes from bus fares or tolls. Are bondholders subordinate to claims for passenger injuries or potholes? Union drivers and toll collectors will find ways to extort and skim. Bond buyers may be too dumb or greedy to evaluate risks. Lawyers and underwriters win again. Sow’s ear for the gullible rich. You can fool enough of the people some of the time – one is born every minute.

The Railroader
10 months ago

Amtrak tried to issue debt to pay for current expenses back in the 1990’s. It didn’t take long for their ‘glide path to self-sufficiency’ to crash and burn.

Like a college kid who gets his first credit card and goes nuts with it, political animals are swiping the taxpayers’ credit card to pay for their ‘priorities’. Then these same crooks take on more debt to pay for the credit card bill. Then they take on yet more debt to pay the interest on the existing debt. Wash. Rinse. Repeat.

This never ends well.

Old Joe
10 months ago

Borrowing money to pay for current consumption is a sure way to go broke. A bigger mystery is who lends money to an entity without a mechanism that generates the income required to pay it back with interest? Am I missing something here?

taxpayer
10 months ago
Reply to  Old Joe

That is curious. In the event of bankruptcy, could the bondholders take over debtor-owned real estate? Perhaps, their object is to acquire certain parcels.

anna
10 months ago
Reply to  Old Joe

China

Tom Paine's Ghost
10 months ago

The Bond Rating agencies are the joke. Bond Rating agencies and their employees need some moral hazard here in order to accurately rate any Chicago bonds based upon the very real risk of default. Instead of the “investment grade” status Chicago Bonds should be accurately listed as ‘junk” and pay obscenely high interest rates as a result. if the rating agencies miss this rating and likely future default then they go out of business and the employees of the bond rating agencies lose their savings and pensions in a clawback. Until then the bonds are simply a criminal farce and… Read more »

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Mark Glennon on AM560’s Morning Answer: Chicago pension buyout plan mostly shifts debt rather than eliminating it, property tax surge doubles inflation over three decades

Chicago’s political leadership is floating a pension buyout program as evidence it is seriously addressing the city’s thirty-six-billion-dollar unfunded pension liability, but Mark Glennon, founder of the Illinois policy research organization Wirepoints, said that the proposal moves debt from one column to another rather than reducing it, and that the broader fiscal picture facing the city continues to deteriorate across every measurable dimension. Audio here.

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