Illinois holds the worst credit rating among its peers and pays the highest penalty to borrow of any state. While it’s difficult to draw a direct line from the state’s notoriety for corruption to its bottom line, investors increasingly weigh environmental, social and governance metrics when buying or shunning securities.
143 basis points over triple A credit is frankly not, in a rational sense, enough to cover the risk premium of lending to Illinois. Once the federal assistance disappears, Illinois is in real trouble. And the near term political and economic landscape does not bode well for a bailout. But investors are at some level confident that Illinois politicians can continue to shake down taxpayers. Maybe they are “right”. The multitude of regressive tax increases passed since the failure of the progressive tax amendment is evidence of this notion. How ironic. Progressives claim there is no relationship between bond yields… Read more »
A largely unasked question is becoming glaring: Is Illinois doing all it should to use artificial intelligence to make government cost less and work better? So far, the evidence says no.
Wow! It is almost like the people who might be interested in purchasing Illinois debt, just don’t trust the politicians! Now why would that be?
143 basis points over triple A credit is frankly not, in a rational sense, enough to cover the risk premium of lending to Illinois. Once the federal assistance disappears, Illinois is in real trouble. And the near term political and economic landscape does not bode well for a bailout. But investors are at some level confident that Illinois politicians can continue to shake down taxpayers. Maybe they are “right”. The multitude of regressive tax increases passed since the failure of the progressive tax amendment is evidence of this notion. How ironic. Progressives claim there is no relationship between bond yields… Read more »