-- Connecting the dots between our economy, government and business --
Summary and audio linked here.
Chicago’s political leadership is floating a pension buyout program as evidence it is seriously addressing the city’s thirty-six-billion-dollar unfunded pension liability, but Mark Glennon, founder of the Illinois policy research organization Wirepoints, said that the proposal moves debt from one column to another rather than reducing it, and that the broader fiscal picture facing the city continues to deteriorate across every measurable dimension. Audio here.
Expect no retraction or apology. This what they do.
The state’s existing buyout program for its own pensions is the precedent for Chicago, which should be a warning: Look out for similar exaggerated claims and shoddy analysis.
Full interview and summary linked here.
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Vote Republican for every race. Time to get these far left Democrats out.
Is there no Republican of middle age able to step up?
There is! Unfortunately, Don’t Tracy and Uihlein control the vetting and onboarding process though through proxies like Proft, The Illinois Republican Party, and other Super PACs. Astonishingly, even Democrats like Prirzker occasionally chip in to Republican campaigns if he’s confident they will fail. Illinois Republicans perpetually play like The Washington Generals vs. The Harlem Globetrotters. There’s ample evidence of this in the prominent “move out” campaign the shills are always pushing here. Why run when your opponent has a 6% approval rating? Contrary to what Wirepoints will tell you, it’s not a question of shifting conservatives more left; conservatives must… Read more »
We’ve never told conservatives to shift left. My view (which I think you are alluding to) is simply that the tent has to be big enough to include both Chicago area moderates and the firm conservatives downstate. It’s just a plain fact that neither of those groups is big enough alone to win statewide. They must work together more constructively to win.
You are disregarding the fact that we are dealing with a multivariate problem. I don’t know of any poll or survey that has accurately characterized what we are dealing with, which is a critical prerequisite. Furthermore, the number of conservatives and liberals is not simply a static metric: it’s a dynamic process and based on strong influences like perceptual context, leadership, positive reinforcement, and group dynamics. We can persuade! People can and do change their groups and views.
“I don’t know of any poll or survey that has accurately characterized what we are dealing with.” What? There are polls all the time on where people stand on the issues, party identification, why they voted as they did, etc.
There’s meticulous social graphs and behavioral futures markets, like what Palantir specializes in, and then there’s sending leading text messages to cherry picked recipients for an editorial. I think you’re referring to the single issue random calls / texts and p value approach, which is rather archaic and subjective. My statement still stands.
Show me any such analysis that validates your claims. And show me any successful, pro campaign manager who disregards conventional polls as you do.