By: Ted Dabrowski
The voting results for Amendment 1, dubbed the “Workers’ Rights” Amendment, are still up in the air as of this morning. Whether it passes or not is too close to call.
Amendment 1 is one of the most consequential votes Illinoisans took this election. If passed, it will amend the state’s constitution to give Illinois’ government unions the strongest negotiating powers in the country. The amendment will also block any chance for Illinois to become a Right-to-Work state in the future. All of Illinois’ neighboring states are Right to Work with the exception of Missouri. Full details on the amendment and its impact on Illinoisans can be found here: https://wirepoints.org/amendment1/
To pass, the amendment must be approved by 60 percent of those voting on the measure or by 50 percent of those voting in the election.
The latest vote counts show the amendment falling short of the 60 percent threshold and it’s still unclear whether or not it will exceed the 50 percent threshold. Only one of the thresholds needs to be exceeded for the amendment to pass. Below are the details.
The New York Times shows just 58.5 percent voting in favor of the amendment vs. 41.5 percent opposing, with 93 percent of precincts counted.
The calculation of the second metric – the 50 percent threshold – is more difficult because it’s really close, making the need for more data to come in before a determination can be made. Here is the formula:
Number of yes votes on the amendment divided by the total number of ballots cast in Illinois’ 2022 election.
The New York Times reports 1,964,076 votes in favor of the amendment with 93 percent of precincts reporting. That’s the numerator.
For the denominator, we can use the governor’s total vote count as a proxy for all votes cast, although that number will understate the total number of ballots (some voters may have skipped the governor vote).
With 93 percent of all precincts reporting according to the New York Times, 3,907,079 have voted for governor.
The proxy math yields 50.26 percent – it’s so close it can go either way. But here’s what’s needed before a final determination can be made.
- The true total number of ballots cast across the entire state. My discussion with officials tells me it may be a while before that’s formally tabulated.
- The total number of yes votes on the amendment. There are still more precincts to be reported.
- Votes in Illinois can still be counted up to two weeks if postmarked on election day, meaning if it’s close, those votes could still swing the outcome.
Stay tuned.
Audio and summary 
If this bill passes, say goodbye to local control over all Illinois parks and expect to see open drug and alcohol use, needles, no sanitation and fire hazards, but no ordinary park users.
My thoughts are they will do whatever it takes to get it passed. It either gets 60% or it doesn’t this other is ridiculous. Demoncrats are comp. criminal.
Try reading the constitution Joe. It also passes with 50% of all voting in the election. it’s not some scam but rather how our constitution is amended. Also, this has already passed as there aren’t enough No votes or blanks left.
Every time elections results are delayed it means the libtards are looking for more votes.
No that’s not what it means. Your level of ignorance is off the charts.
LOL, it’s exactly what it means!
Says the union slob feasting off the productive.
Math may be too complicated for you Patrick. But see, in order to calculate if this passed or not, you need to know the total number of ballots cast. Let me help you, you take the total number of “Yes” votes and divide it by the total number of ballots cast in the election. Now the “Yes” votes are your numerator and your total ballots cast are your denominator. Since we don’t know the total ballots yet, we don’t know the denominator of the equation and can’t yet calculate if this passed. Now the reason we don’t know the total… Read more »
The election isn’t over until the dimocrats say it is over.
Poll: 62 Percent of Voters are Worried about Potential Cheating in 2022 Midterm Elections – Big League Politics
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There isn’t an election that is officially decided on election night Richard. You do know that right? I believe Illinois is December 5th. Usually the media (you know that thing you distrust) calls a race and/or the other candidate concedes on election night. When the race is too close then the media doesn’t call the race and we have to wait until all the absentee ballots are counted. Because this election was close, they had to wait until they could determine if it would officially pass. The number of yes votes has now made it impossible for it not to… Read more »
Just when you thought thinks could not get worse, they did. Unions have destroyed Illinois for most families. The quality of life is going down for lots of people.
You have the freedom to leave Illinois.
Either move or enjoy the suffering.
Minutes after 7pm Pritzger claimed he won re-election.
Yet….Yet…..Yet
Amendment 1, is still up in the air….
Right, It probably didn’t pass, but Dems need to find a way to make some yes votes.
As expected, looks like this is moving in the wrong direction. With now 95% of all precincts reporting, using your math, the percentage to pass went up to 50.8%. JB’s percentage increased a tenth of a percent as well. The last hope is if voters left the governor blank on the ballot. I can’t imagine a scenario in which anyone would. That said, I’m looking at 2018 election results and 700 more people voted for AG than governor. And according to Wiki, there were around 88,000 more total votes cast than votes for governor. Based on my calculations and the… Read more »
Update: Based on what some counties are reporting, it looks like less than 1% of ballots cast left the Amendment 1 question blank. Total Ballots Cast vs Votes for Governor (assuming no write-in) for the most populous counties: Cook = 730,196 – 723,381 = 6,815 DuPage = 340,483 – 337,133 = 3,350 Lake = 219,037 – 217,388 = 1,649 Will = 227,687 – 226,446 = 1,241 Kane = 157,673 – 155,853 = 1,820 Extrapolate this however you want, but you’re going to need a lot more blanks downstate for this to fail and the math isn’t favorable. Kane offers some… Read more »
I’ve done the math. There are over 2.1 million votes for Yes and 3.95 million votes for governor. There are less than 235K mail in ballots that were requested but have yet to be received. Assuming 50k people voted in this election but didn’t vote for governor, you would need almost all of those 235k mail in ballots to be cast for a No vote or left blank. Based on the math this thing will clearly pass. It’s just a matter of waiting for it to be official.
They have to count the real ballots first, only then will they know how many fake ballots they need to pull out of the storage bins. Sheesh common sense.
They’ll keep counting until they get the votes they need
How’s Trump working for you now? Hahahahhaha
It’ll be close, but it will pass. It’s a minor miracle the yes vote was kept under 60 percent considering all the money spent on it and all the Democrats and union-whipped Republicans who went to bat for it.
Hey (-1), lay out your perspective as to how this Constitutional change benefits ALL of Illinois?
Any minute now…
It’s just Rich Miller again.
Rich Miller isn’t smart enough to use the up/down vote buttons. Besides, he’s too busy quoting himself
Who cares? Democrats in our crappy state are the furthest from “leaders” and people who deserve respect. Forget where most likely fall on a normal distribution of intelligence, they are, by and large, either prostitutes to their party or their next campaign. Nowhere in their playbook is what is best for their constituents. It is simply a matter of lifetime employment and buying votes. But, spoiler alert here, the vast majority of folks who pull the lever on their behalf are also equally as smart and unable to understand the implications of their choices on their own long term BEST… Read more »
Spoiler alert: it’ll pass
The item should have been disqualified from the ballot. It was blatantly dishonest. As I recall it said “workers” not “government workers” only. The item made it sound like these changes were going to benefit every worker in Illinois not just government workers. Yeah sure, private sector workers will earn a pension. What a lie! Every chance Democrats get they lie to the Illinois people. What an insult!
The Pritzker way LIE
His campaign slogan should be “Vote for me, I can remove your toilets and reduce your real estate taxes!!!”. Of course, it is cold as hell to have to use the toilet sitting on the ground in the alley.
Hate to get frostbite, hey
So “-1” you can set me straight? Does Amendment 1 pertain only to government unions or all private sector unions as well? Please correct me if I am wrong.
Not playing this game with you today “-1”, we’re done.
Amendment 1 is truly a threat to democracy. To concentrate such power in the hands of a few unaccountable, greedy union bosses is un-American, immoral and unpatriotic
Boy you wrong.
There is 12 million people in the state of Illinois – only 4 million voted. WTF?
Ahem. Dem Electoral blowouts in IL are not about VOTING. It is about COLLECTING BALLOTS. This year, 875,479 early ballots were requested, and 598,796 were returned before election day, compared to 791,697 early votes. Remember, VBMs can be counted up to 14 days after election, even if they are unpostmarked or unsigned. Hmmmm…… Dem voting patterns means a majority, if not most, of the 598,796 early votes were for JB. That’s basically his margin of victory over Bailey. They ballot harvest to collect the fraud/lazy voters. Dems rely on election day voting to make up the difference. Republicans need to… Read more »
Yup. Better to put my limited resource, time, and effort into relocating to a Red State where I am certain of a positive return.
In my own self post-mortem, I do believe IL is winnable and turnable into a purple state. However, the notion of igniting a movement of R voters to show up on election day to vote Republican is a fantasy. Its never going to happen. I like Dan Proft but his strategy was a failure. Yes, nationally, R’s got smashed, even though R’s actually did win the turnout (52% of all votes cast were R). Yes, his strategy of demoralize D’s worked to some extent. 400,000 fewer voters. But the inspire R’s strategy didn’t work at all. The reality on the… Read more »
debtsor, great post.
Here is an article that further supports & explains how the DemonicRats load up the voter rolls, never clean them, then havest all the votes to guarantee they never lose.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2022/11/13/the-modern-electioneering-process-of-ballot-submission-assistance-is-taking-center-stage/
In my own self post-mortem, I do believe IL is winnable and turnable into a purple state. However, the notion of igniting a movement of R voters to show up on election day to vote Republican is a fantasy. Its never going to happen. I like Dan Proft but his strategy was a failure. Yes, nationally, R’s got smashed, even though R’s actually did win the turnout (52% of all votes cast were R). Yes, his strategy of demoralize D’s worked to some extent. 400,000 fewer voters. But the inspire R’s strategy didn’t work at all. The reality on the… Read more »
Also, the number of educated (sic) folks I know who, out of guilt or something, support our lib-tard policies is disheartening.
Truly, the curse of our system is thinking people are rational actors and would vote along the lines with policies and ideals that are congruent to their best interests…
We’re doomed. (Thank God we can move!)
Indiana is your salvation.
I am going to migrate before all the public employee pension multi-millionaires start to leave. With this second stolen election I have resigned myself to being a Conservative Pilgrim, in search of sanctuary – I have no real homeland I can recognize anymore, and I am effectively w/o a political party. I don’t need to be kicked in the pants a third time to realize I am viewed as no more than a serf in IL by the ruling class of Leftist Democrats, and for the most part am unwanted here. Go ahead Pritzker, build your golden calf.
Debstor and Jack, if ever there was an election that was winnable, this was it. The fact that the Dems pretty much swept Illinois again should eliminate any doubt about the future. Perhaps even the Wirepoints staff is asking themselves, “What’s the point? Do these people really deserve better? Why?”
After 35 years here in IL and 7 years active in the IL Republican party I am seriously questioning staying after this election. Previously I had some hope that IL could recover within my lifetime. I no longer think so. This cancer ridden state is terminally ill. Abandon all hope ye who enter here.
New data released every day. There was a 3-6 point RED SHIFT in many suburban Chicago districts. Yes, it’s still 35/65 but that’s a reflection of the new maps they drew. This is the first year with these new maps. 3-6 points of red shift per year, if this continues, could put a serious dent.
Is it worth staying around to save it? I’m leaning towards no. Sometimes your state goes full Bolshevik for 70 years and there’s nothing anyone can do about it.
Have you ever met anyone that regretted leaving Illinois? So far, everyone I know said it was the best decision they ever made. Just something to consider.
I disagree, two days ago, I would have thought this was the election to win. However, now in retrospect it’s not. I say because other than NY, with had independent and non-partisan maps, no other state flipped in any meaningful way. Nationwide maps were drawn tighter than ever before and it produced an extremely partisan outcome. If there is any meaningful chance to turn the state purple, it will be at the end of the decade as patterns change. But that’s a long shot. Like I said above, a 2,000,000 center of R VBM campaign starting *today*, and costing tens… Read more »
Sure would be interesting to know what % of the 598,796 VBM where cast by are public sec heros & family members? Im sure the vast majority. Im sure thier unions at a min made sure they got a mail in ballot.
Just listening to Hannity and Kari Lake was on from Arizona. Yesterday they said there were 412,000 ballots uncounted in AZ and I believe verified but today they say there are 625,000. Maybe tomorrow there will be 850K. Who knows? I will see if I can get a rebroadcast of his show. But Florida counted all the votes but AZ/PA and a few others states are having nothing but problems. Of course they do.
While the logical side of my brain made this an easy no vote, I’d be lying if there wasn’t a small schadenfreude portion of me that was curious to see it pass. Once these bargaining units understand their added power, they are going to unleash a fury of confusing and expensive demands that are going to overwhelm local school boards and governments, many of whom probably voted yes. It’s going to take a few years to truly emerge, but none of them are prepared. My advice would be to get in the business of labor consulting. Join the party. Unleash… Read more »
Pass or not, the only reason we are even close to defeating this moral monstrosity is because of the few brave voices at WP, IPI and a few others who had the moral cojones to stand up against the the despicable greed of the machine and all their $….THANK YOU WP!!!, THANK YOU IPI!!!
The odds still favor this passing. You would need the remaining count total to break more towards no or blank than current numbers suggest. Your best bet is to hope there are more downstate ballots uncounted than in Chicagoland.
My advice is to assume it passed then be pleasantly surprised if it didn’t.
Of course they are still counting undated, unsigned, late arriving ballots up to two weeks after the election.
DEMOCRACY!
Yes, they lost on the Progressive Tax they are not going to lose on this one no matter what they have to do…lie, cheat or steal. Jelly Bean needs this so he can run for President and beat Gavin Newsom.
I see a lot more MonkeyPox in our future as we all get bent over by this one.
Headline should read Amendment 1 still not passed votes still being manipulated?
It will pass by about 6000 votes according to if you calculate it out.