By: Ted Dabrowski and John Klingner
Rising crime is the number one crisis facing Chicago today. More specifically, the city’s propensity for murder. Chicago was the nation’s extreme outlier for homicides in 2022, with 697 deaths. More people were murdered here than anywhere else.
What’s worse, Chicago has out-paced the entire nation in murders for 11 years in a row. It’s become an embedded, chronic wound for the city.
That’s just one of the facts contained in Wirepoints’ latest Special Report: Chicago, New Orleans were the nation’s murder capitals in 2022: A Wirepoints survey of America’s 75 largest cities.
The city’s continued record isn’t a surprising result given the failed policies of Chicago’s leadership in recent years, from a dramatic drop in arrests to ever-fewer prosecutions to reduced sentencing.
The pursuit of “equity” and “social justice,” instead of actual justice, has only increased the protection of criminals, crushed police morale and increased the violence inflicted on ordinary Chicagoans.
New Orleans is the nation’s other murder capital with more than 74 homicides per 100,000 residents. That’s the worst rate in the nation, by far. But Chicago still shares the crown due to the sheer amount of lives lost and its 11-year run at the top.
Apologists claim that the city’s mass number of murders is just a typical big-city problem. But it’s easy to dispel that myth. If that were the case, New York City would be the nation’s homicide capital.
But it’s not.
Chicago’s murder rate of 25.8 per 100K people in 2022 was 5 times higher than New York’s 5.2. That’s a staggering difference. Chicago would have had just 140 homicides last year if it had had the same murder rate as the Big Apple’s.
Conversely, New York City would have suffered 2,150 murders – not it’s actual 438 – if it had had the same homicide rate as Chicago’s.
Despite Chicago’s horrific results, city and state leaders continue to downplay the city’s overall crime crisis. Gov. Pritzker recently told CNBC in Davos, Switzerland recently that “crime is coming down gradually in the city,” a statement that is patently false. See him say it here. Mayor Lori Lightfoot said last year “we’re making progress on crime.” That’s also grossly untrue.
Though murders did drop 13 percent in 2022, overall major crimes in Chicago ended up 41% higher in 2022 vs. 2021. And in 2023 major crimes are already up 55% compared to the same period last year.
These are the facts that city leaders should be obsessed about changing:
- The average arrest rate for major crimes in Chicago fell to just 5% in 2022.
- There were no police available in 2021 for more than 400,000 high-priority 911 dispatches. That included 15,000 assaults in progress, 1,300 instances of people shot, 14,000 instances of domestic battery, and many more serious crimes.
- Cook County Chief Judge Tim Evans’ no bail, low-cash bail “reforms” of 2017 have, since then, resulted in an additional 15,000 new offenses for defendants already awaiting trial.
- Every day there are about 1,000 more defendants accused of violent crimes on the street than there were in 2016 due to the expansion of electronic monitoring, Many of them are felons that end up committing more heinous crimes.
- The number of beat cops on the streets since Mayor Lightfoot took office is down by nearly 1,500, a drop of nearly 20%.
The city’s leadership, including Cook County State’s Attorney Kim Foxx, County President Preckwinkle, Mayor Lori Lightfoot and Tim Evans have had years, some even more than a decade, to implement their equity-focused “reforms. They’ve had their chance and they’ve failed miserably.
The crime data overwhelmingly tells us so. There can’t be any “equity” when blacks and Latinos, who make up 95% of all Chicago murder victims, are dying and being victimized in ever-higher numbers.
The chain of criminal justice is broken in Chicago. We are not arresting. We are not prosecuting and convicting. We are not sentencing. What few criminals are caught just go through a revolving door. And the SAFE-T Act, with the elimination of cash bail and the allowance of anonymous complaints against police, will only make things worse.
Chicago has already spent more than a decade as “The Murder Capital of the Nation.” At this rate the city will hold that title for two decades if nothing is done.
The obvious thing to do is to unwind these destructive policies that treat criminals like victims while the real victimization of ordinary residents continues to spike. The first target should be Los Angeles’ homicide rate of 9.9 per 100K – or 270 homicides a year for Chicago. And then go for New York’s, resulting in a murder total for Chicago of 140.
Still too many – but it would be progress – and it would free Chicago from the title of the nation’s murder capital.
Read more from Wirepoints:
- Chicago, New Orleans were the nation’s murder capitals in 2022 – A Wirepoints survey of America’s 75 largest cities
- Chicago 2022 arrest rates collapse to just 5%
- Chicago’s progressive agenda has been destructive for black communities
- Poor communities bear the brunt of crime unleashed by Cook County bail reform and the SAFE-T Act: New Manhattan Institute report
- Never mind last year’s 41% crime spike in Chicago. It’s up again another 55% this year.
- Unwed births, illiterate children and black-on-black crime: What Chicago’s mayoral candidates ignore
A largely unasked question is becoming glaring: Is Illinois doing all it should to use artificial intelligence to make government cost less and work better? So far, the evidence says no.
Audio and summary
If this bill passes, say goodbye to local control over all Illinois parks and expect to see open drug and alcohol use, needles, no sanitation and fire hazards, but no ordinary park users.
All this just so they can avoid admitting that American blacks are jailed in greater proportion because they perpetrate crimes in greater proportion?
Informative and depressing, as always. We should accept that what is happening in Chicago, and elsewhere is intentional. To paraphrase Dirty Harry: This is the price we pay for being fashionable.
Time for old west justice…..
I am sick of hearing about social justice, and criminal justice. How about we try some REAL Justice?
Hey, we’re number 1 in something.
When Old Joe was a kid Detroit was number 1!
Think of the low crime rate/murder rate an all-White America would have!
What are you suggesting?
He is suggesting a look at the reality of the data showing who is the driver of most violence happening nationwide. One can pretend it is not what it is. But reality will show you something else!
What do YOU think he’s suggesting?
It’s an uncomfortable conversation, but not having it has hurt the minority population the most, and the spillover hasn’t been healthy for anyone.
The Chitty of Chicago is DOOMED, destined to be a crime ridden Chitty.
Students get zero education or job skills ($30,000 per year per student). The only industry growing in the Chitty is being a criminal. Cops only make out reports (some at least) and retire with huge pensions to luxury homes in Punta Gorda, Fl. The whole system is completely broken. Destine to go bankrupt and look like a war zone.
Why do Democrats love criminals and terrorists so much?
I’m trying to think of one thing that any of the 9 Dem’s running for mayor have said they’d do that would actually reduce Chicago’s crime rates.
Aside from deciding to identify fewer acts as crimes, that is.
LL to her staff:
“Well, it’s clearly evident to me…
We have too many police on the street…
Get more inside on desk duty, or fired preferably…
The less of them out there, the less reports of crime they take…”
The Obama plan was a great success.
Hey folks it’s called restorative justice and the results are as expected. 99% of all murders and shootings so far in 2023 involve POC. Them darn white supremacists at it again.
I listened to a University of Chicago social work professor on YouTube on the nature of crime in Chicago. He did – as he is well trained to do – relate the history of racism in this country in a detailed way. I think it was accurate, but not well balanced – there were thriving black communities in the South prior to desegregation and those citizens deserve mention for doing well in a difficult environment. But OK – the history of racism in this country is a story that needs to be understood. And he touched- but only touched –… Read more »
It’s the worldview that’s resulted in trillions of dollars of spending-n-legislating on behalf of our Great Society that’s made worse much of what’s wrong.